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Data Analysis

The Breakout Tracker Returns For 2024 – AFL Fantasy

See which early career players are trending ahead of the best AFL Fantasy players in the competition using The Breakout Tracker.

Chart:

Breakout Tracker

Data:

Defenders

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T10Diff
Harry SheezelNMB311858.1103.474.5+28.9
Nick DaicosCWB,C552749.197.975.2+22.7
Hayden YoungFRB,C651624.684.872.9+11.9
Sam ClohesyGCB,C50077.266+11.2
Nic MartinESB,C521732.786.876+10.8
Nasiah Wanganeen-MileraSKB481327.182.476.4+6
Isaac CummingGWSB,C751317.376.371.1+5.2
Will GrahamGCB,C512071.266+5.2
Jordan RidleyESB851112.975.672.1+3.5
Colby McKercherNMB,C8112.571.468.2+3.2

Midfielders

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T20Diff
Nick DaicosCWB,C552749.197.970.9+27
Sam ClohesyGCB,C50077.257.2+20
Caleb SerongFRC883843.291.672+19.6
Errol GuldenSYC752837.391.772.2+19.5
Will AshcroftBLC18422.282.964.8+18.1
Nic MartinESB,C521732.786.869.4+17.4
Noah AndersonGCC892932.688.472+16.4
Tom GreenGWSC75304086.972.2+14.7
Will GrahamGCB,C512071.257.2+14
Jai NewcombeHWC581525.985.371.3+14

Rucks

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T5Diff
Kieren BriggsGWSR34823.579.965.1+14.8
Toby ConwayGER30064.356.6+7.7
Ned MoyleGCR3006356.6+6.4
Matt FlynnWCR33412.170.564.9+5.6
Braydon PreussGWSR2872569.264+5.2
Kieran StrachanADR50062.257.2+5
Darcy CameronCWR801417.574.272.6+1.6
Jordon SweetPAR140065.465.6-0.2
Peter LadhamsSYR52713.567.869.4-1.6
Tristan XerriNMR41717.164.366.2-1.9

Forwards

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T10Diff
Calsher DearHWF1006752.8+14.2
Darcy JonesGWSF2006354.6+8.4
Dylan MooreHWF831922.98172.8+8.2
Darcy WilsonSKC,F8112.569.662+7.6
Ryley SandersWBC,F60062.759.5+3.2
Ben HobbsESC,F4124.967.666.3+1.3
Mitch OwensSKF3837.966.865.9+0.9
Sam FlandersGCC,F511223.569.969.4+0.5
Jye CaldwellESC,F63914.37271.7+0.3
Harley ReidWCC,F7006464.4-0.4

View the Breakout Tracker data and chart for every player in the competition by becoming a member.

Sign up here.

For those who haven’t heard of the Breakout Tracker before, we calculate the career average for every player who has played under 100 games. We then work out the combined career average of the top AFL Fantasy players in the competition at the same time in their careers. We then compare those figures and give you a differential.

You can use this information to see how players compare to the best in the league. This will give you an idea of their breakout likelihood, or if they’re trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

To explain the data above, let’s take Josh Ward for example. Ward has played a total of 30 games for a career average of 74.4. The top 20 midfielders in the competition had a combined average of 70.6 after their first 30 games, giving him a +2.8 point differential. This indicates he is trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

Members of The Keeper League podcast receive data for every player in the competition separated by position. They also receive a chart that allows you to compare players and positions visually as demonstrated above.

This data will be updated after every round of the 2024 AFL season.

Members can view ‘The Breakout Tracker’ here.

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