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Data Analysis

Breakout Tracker Demo (Updated Round 5, 2021)

For those who haven’t heard of the Breakout Tracker before, we calculate the career average for every player that has played under 100 games. We then work out the combined career average of the top AFL Fantasy players in the competition at the same time in their careers. We then compare those figures and give you a differential.

You can use this information to see how players compare to the best in the league. This will give you an idea of their breakout likelihood, or if they’re trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

Below we have given you some of the top players who are averaging ahead of the top 50 players in the competition at the same points in their careers.

To explain the data below, let’s take Caleb Serong as an example. Serong has played a total of 19 games for a career average of 80.7. The top 20 midfielders in the competition had a combined average of 67.1 after their first 5 games, giving him a +13.6 point differential.

Members of The Keeper League podcast receive data for every player in the competition separated by position. They also receive a chart that allows you to compare players and positions visually as demonstrated below. This data updates after every round.

View the Breakout Tracker data and chart for every player in the competition by becoming a member.

Sign up here.

Breakout Tracker Demo

Data:

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.VsTopDiff
Caleb SerongFRC1950.2680.767.113.6
Errol GuldenSYC,F510.286.461.824.6
James JordonMEC510.272.461.810.6
Lachlan ShollADB,C1340.317365.67.4
Tom PowellNMC,F50069.661.87.8

Chart:

Breakout Tracker

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