CBA Analysis - Round 11 - The Keeper League
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Data Analysis

CBA Analysis – Round 11

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 11 in our user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week – and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

Patrick Lipinski (7 CBAs; 28% attendance) | 95 AFL Fantasy

It was impossible not to dream of some #moremidtime scenarios following the recent injuries to Dunkley and Treloar – with a monstrous amount of CBAs up for grabs at the Dogs. One particularly handsome, mulleted individual seemed poised to snatch up the majority of the leftovers – even attending a season-high 63% last week. But it wasn’t to be! The Oracle (@TKLKaes) strikes again, and it was Patty Lipinski that stole some of the prized CBAs right under Bazlenka’s nose. A breakout candidate each of the past couple of seasons (even getting compared to Dusty in one of the all-time great pre-season hype articles in 2020), at 22-years-old, Lipinski looks ready to take the next step. Attending just two centre bounces across his seven games prior to last weekend, Lipinski was awarded a generous seven CBAs from Bevo and made the most of his mid-time – racking up 23 disposals, seven marks, four tackles, four clearances, five score involvements and a season-high 95 AFL Fantasy points. All aboard!

Jordan De Goey (13 CBAs; 72% attendance) | 109 AFL Fantasy

De Goey (or perhaps Buckley) teased fantasy coaches in the AAMI Community Series with a glimpse of what a pure midfield version of JDG might look like. The result? Fantasy coaches that fell for the trap would recall his 27 disposals, 11 marks, five clearances and whopping 127 AFL Fantasy point outing from 73% CBA usage back in early March. Stuck inside forward 50 for much of 2021 thus far, has the tide finally turned in round 11? After recording zero CBAs in the first quarter on the weekend, the Pies changed things up (yet again) and injected the 25-year-old into 13 of the final 15 centre bounces, recording over 70% CBAs for just the third time in 2021 – including the pre-season cameo. Across the three-game tease, De Goey has averaged 23 disposals, seven marks, four clearances and 94.3 AFL Fantasy points.

Sam Flanders (16 CBAs; 50% attendance) | 84 AFL Fantasy

Everyone who counts loves Sam Flanders! And finally, so does Stewie Dew! The second-year Sun recorded a career-high 50% CBAs in round 11. It’s hard to say whether the change was purely experimental (against a fellow cellar-dwellers in the abysmal Hawks) or whether it was a genuine change of direction for the struggling Suns. We’ll need a few more games of data to see if the inclusion of Flanders (+46%), Rankine (+28%) and Weller (+20%) – more explosive stoppage players – in favour of more one-dimensional contested bulls Greenwood (-28%) and Swallow (-32%) will be a trend going forward. Regardless, it brings hope for potential long term keepers of Ned, who showed his owners solid signs of being a capable scorer in the role. Still, he’ll face an uphill battle staying in there with the imminent return of Suns prodigy, Matt Rowell.

Fallers

Liam Baker (1 CBA; -56% round diff) | 85 AFL Fantasy

It’s been Baker’s delight to spend some time in the guts the past couple of weeks – attending 62% and 59% of the Tigers CBAs the previous two rounds – but unfortunately the fun for Baker… dozen last forever (sorry). With four of the Tigers top-six centre bounce attendees out of action, the fiery 23-year-old enjoyed a couple of weeks of midfield freedom. In round 11, three of those four top attendees- Cotchin, Prestia, and Bolton – returned, with most of Shane Edwards’ (still injured) CBAs being handed to the impressive youngster, Collier-Dawkins. For Baker, the joy of centre bounces may be a fading memory, but he did receive a token CBA as a parting gift. Fantasy coaches also received a parting gift, Baker being awarded MID status flexibility in the AFL Fantasy format.

Seb Ross (3 CBAs; -44% round diff) | 54 AFL Fantasy

Ross’ constant rises and falls have been well documented across the season in this article. This ‘fall’ section is less dedicated to the yo-yo centre bounce season of Seb Ross, and more of a cheat to sneak in one more ‘riser’ – 2021 AFL Fantasy LEADING *average* SCORER – Luke Dunstan (20 CBAs; 83% attendance | 140 AFL Fantasy)!!! Plenty of auto-drafters were rewarded handsomely if they held Dunstan on the pine up to this point of the season, with a dominant display against North in his return to the seniors. With just a brief cameo at AFL level in round 5 (receiving just 39% of CBAs), Dunstan has been biding his time in the Magoos – and absolutely dominating! The 26-year-old perennial fringe keeper averaged 36.5 disposals, six marks, three tackles, two goals and 132.5 AFL Fantasy points across his four games with Sandringham. Saint Kilda’s first-choice centre bounce mix is decimated. They’ve lost Gresham for the season, Zak Jones to a long-term injury, and Hannebery to…well, being Dan Hannebery. Add to that Ratten “swinging the axe” to dump Bytel to the two’s – and Dunstan may go marching into more CBAs for the Saints.

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

Filter:

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Jordan De GoeyCWF109841372420952
Darcy CameronCWF104911161210951
Sam FlandersGCF84731650141546
Steele SidebottomCWC,F1069284415739
Karl AmonPAC117711239001239
Brad CrouchSKC1187919791447532
Izak RankineGCF998092800928
Ned ReevesHWR8170257812501328
Andrew GaffWCC81931037311726
Quinton NarkleGEC638314781352126
James HarmesMEB978722882267021
Jack SinclairSKC8175938517421
James WorpelHWC8776247513541121
Willem DrewPAC4879227110501221
Lachie WellerGCC627592828720
Matt FlynnGWSR61781444725719
Josh P. KennedySYC1057521701552618
James RowbottomSYC757524801862618
Tarryn ThomasNMF927516671851-216
Tom LiberatoreWBC787719761860116
Brandan ParfittGEC937315831768-215
Deven RobertsonBLC,F797820631448615
Paddy RyderSKR837521882273-115
Joel SelwoodGEC988616891976-313
Josh BattleSKC,F627431300313
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC948214581646-212
Zac SmithGCR517328881976912
Todd GoldsteinNMR708820832571-512
Chad WingardHWF987317531042711
Hayden McLeanSYF418941313310
Callan WardGWSC1197418561346510
Robbie GrayPAF93821135525610
Jarman ImpeyHWF5386390039
Ben KeaysADC129902782247339
Sam WalshCAC100862480177179
Marcus BontempelliWBC1208419762067-19
Connor RozeePAF638061921049
Jack CrispCWB110881794178509
Sam MenegolaGEC63843172819
Shaun HigginsGEC1158563362409
Charlie DixonPAF989361921049
Chad WarnerSYF52663101327
Nikolas CoxESB,F4682270027
Will SetterfieldCAC60731757125057
Alec WatermanESF5878270027
Adam CerraFRC87814132726
Riley ThilthorpeADR,F548172151526
Rory LairdADB,C75732782257626
Josh TreacyFRR,F3880260026
Nic NaitanuiWCR117702281217516
Brendon Ah CheeWCF4086103793215
Jy SimpkinNMC1038519792674-75
Zach MerrettESC1328122812777-54
James JordonMEC7170728824-14
Kyle LangfordESC,F1238819702366-44
Jack HigginsSKF4276140014
Max GawnMER1188417682164-44
Tom MitchellHWC76762475177174
Zac BaileyBLC,F6877113493123
Nick HolmanGCF5178130013
Marc PittonetCAR41742170166753
Tom PhillipsHWC,F7683130013
Jarryd LyonsBLC85812681237932
Oscar McInerneyBLR106812578227632
Alex Neal-BullenMEF7671282602
Rhys MathiesonBLC,F84791753155221
Jordon SweetWBR316721842583-41
Chris BurgessGCB538241331211
Paul SeedsmanADC53781133113300
Jack MacraeWBC1478620802480-40
Jacob HopperGWSC11481257822793-1
Rory LobbFRR,F461004134140-1
Darcy ParishESC1227723853086-7-1
Tim TarantoGWSC14381175315542-1
Andrew PhillipsESR727722812983-7-2
Luke BreustHWF507926280-2
Tom GreenGWSC5175144413461-2
Joe DaniherBLF47917227240-2
Ben CunningtonNMC768517712674-9-3
Callum MillsSYB10086227322760-3
James CousinsHWC7580154712503-3
Jake MelkshamMEF3763312515-2-3
Tom De KoningCAR45839308331-3
Luke JacksonMEF35758321236-4-4
Jack ReddenWCC928420742279-2-5
Sean DarcyFRR8481258125860-5
Christian PetraccaMEC859220802885-8-5
Patrick CrippsCAC12083258321884-5
Josh KellyGWSC10890226921751-6
Reilly O'BrienADR978526792885-2-6
Rory SloaneADC978124732679-2-6
Bailey J. WilliamsWCR,F3462519725-2-6
Jack SteeleSKC1188220832790-7-7
Ollie WinesPAC12175216815756-7
Lachie HunterWBC938114413-3-9
Peter LadhamsPAR,F10389258118907-9
Harry SchoenbergADF587310301339-3-9
David MundyFRC887013421552-2-10
Hugh McCluggageBLC81769281138-2-10
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F1258413411552-2-11
Toby NankervisRIR907921642276-1-12
Dustin MartinRIC,F928321642276-1-12
Tom CampbellNMR,F49704171029-6-12
Clayton OliverMEC1159321843297-11-13
Nat FyfeFRC918624772690-2-13
Oliver FlorentSYC7176310724-4-14
Caleb SerongFRC467120652379-3-14
Travis BoakPAC8785206516804-15
Touk MillerGCC16089226921841-15
Andrew McGrathESC717714522469-10-17
Michael WaltersFRC,F638617552172-4-17
Shane MumfordGWSR366018562175-3-19
Riley Collier-DawkinsRIC637216482069-4-21
Sam Powell-PepperPAC,F936613525-4-22
Luke ParkerSYC968017572379-6-22
Noah AndersonGCC67697221144-4-22
Ed CurnowCAC728721702292-1-22
Josh DaicosCWC51825281050-5-22
Dom SheedWCC1358617632486-7-23
Bailey SmithWBC85789361963-10-27
Ben McEvoyHWB,R104827221250-5-28
Hugh GreenwoodGCC727918562184-3-28
Tom PowellNMC64736251954-13-29
David SwallowGCC927914441976-5-32
Esava RatugoleaGER,F28737392080-13-41
Sebastian RossSKC54833131757-14-44
Brodie GrundyCWR69487391890-11-51
Liam BakerRIB8583131759-16-56
Tim KellyWCC33215192589-20-70
Trent BiancoCWB,C716316
Rhys StanleyGER91641161
Jake StringerESF6485415
Mabior CholRIR,F62661030
Shaun BurgoyneHWF657526
Brayden SierCWC92651056
Callum Coleman-JonesRIR,F767626
Trent CotchinRIC109722370
Liam ShielsHWC11482825
Dion PrestiaRIC70742370
Elliot YeoWCC61641970
Tim EnglishWBR9682416
Shai BoltonRIC,F107851545
Callum SinclairSYR73852687
Patrick LipinskiWBC9579728
Luke DunstanSKC140842083
Jack MartinCAF5676310
Andrew BrayshawFRC95781548

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%
Kyle LangfordESC,F70425.27144.8
Jack CrispCWB94949.482.344.6
Jordan De GoeyCWF725228.73643.3
Callum SinclairSYR8745.58741.5
Sam FlandersGCF504610.722.339.3
Michael WaltersFRC,F55-1717.44437.6
Josh KellyGWSC69-632.761.736.3
Darcy CameronCWF615124.927.336.1
Tarryn ThomasNMF671634.555.332.5
Quinton NarkleGEC782649.357.328.7

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

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Members can view the full table here


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