CBA Analysis - Round 19 - The Keeper League
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Data Analysis

CBA Analysis – Round 19

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyze the CBAs from round 19 in our user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools to better measure the biggest changes to CBA numbers, both long term and week-to-week, and check out my risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy below.

Risers

Brent Daniels (15 CBAs, 79% attendance) | 79 AFL Fantasy points
Daniels saw a season high CBA percentage on the weekend playing against Essendon. With Coniglio and Greene out of the side, along with Taranto playing a lot less midfield time this week, Daniels was the player that received the bump. Will this continue though? Over the past three rounds he has seen a +11.2% rise in CBAs when compared to his season average, but last weeks effort was a +60.2% differential, which makes these numbers look a little outlandish. Looking at his scoring, he only had 79 AFL Fantasy points so depsite being given the opportunity, he wasn’t able to capitalize on the role he was given.

Matthew Parker (16 CBAs, 64% attendance) | 80 AFL Fantasy points
There were questions last week as to which player was to step into Dustin Martin’s role, and it looks like Matthew Parker is that man. This week we saw Matthew Parker start in the centre square and attend 64% of the centre bounces for the game. This was a 40% uptick in CBAs from Round 18, and his fantasy scoring reflected that. After scoring 68 points last week, he put up a respectable score of 80 which you’d take when you consider he’s listed as a forward. Hopefully he can continue this role over the final weeks of the season and put up some reasonable for his owners.

Harry Schoenberg (23 CBAs, 72% attendance) | 96 AFL Fantasy points
As much as I don’t want to talk about him, it would be remissent of me to neglect Harry from the article after his performance on the weekend. After scoring 113 against West Coast last week, he backed it up with a score of 96 against Hawthorn in Round 19. Despite scoring slightly less this week, his CBA numbers were the real talking point. He attended 72% of the centre bounces for the Crows, which was +20% more than his previous highest attendance rate this season and +40.4% up on his season average. If this continues, he should be provided with plenty of opportunities to score but I wonder how many points there are to go around at the Crows. With Keays and Laird in the side, and Matt Crouch potentially returning, this could be short lived. Long term, I don’t think he’s going to be a massive scorer but he definitely could be a solid contributor to your keeper league sides.

Fallers

Matthew Kennedy (10 CBAs; -50% CBA diff) | 69 AFL Fantasy points
Matthew Kennedy recorded his lowest CBA% since returning to Carlton’s side in Round 14. Over the previous three rounds he was averaging an attendance rate of 65% for Carlton, but only attended 30% of centre bounces against North Melbourne on Sunday. As a result, we saw his fantasy scoring drop too, recording his second lowest score of the season; a measly 44 AFL Fantasy points. Watching the game, it’s no wonder he scored so poorly. Carlton were dominated by North Melbourne and could not get their hands on the footy. Kennedy’s absence from the centre square did him and his team no favours, which played a part in Carlton getting thrashed by the team on the bottom of the ladder.

Tim Taranto (2 CBAs, -34% CBA diff) | 67 AFL Fantasy points
This was a strange turn of events. GWS were up against another finals contender so you’d assume Leon Cameron would have wanted his best onballer at majority of the centre bounces, but here we are. Taranto attended a ludicrosly low 2 centre bounces for the entire match, which is down -41.1% on his overall season average. Over the past three rounds we have seen a -14.4% decline of appearances in the centre square for Taranto, so there could be a trend forming here. GWS successfully deployed Lachie Ash into the midfield to run with Darcy Parish in Round 19, and Brent Daniels was another who performed well in the middle, pushing Taranto into a forward role. Probably the most concerning thing was GWS won the game when they probably weren’t expected to, so this could be a worrying sign for the future of Taranto’s midfield role.

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

Filter:

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Brent DanielsGWSF79801579271372
Mark O'ConnorGEB,C70671664001664
Steele SidebottomCWC,F88851659001659
Sebastian RossSKC837918602101650
Josh KellyGWSC,F968618951345550
Sam FlandersGCF52761345001345
Matthew ParkerRIC,F80871664824840
Dom SheedWCC10684248011421338
Zak JonesSKC1037921707331437
Harry SchoenbergADF,C9676237210381334
Ed CurnowCAC82891133001133
Jordan De GoeyCWF938722811352929
Tim KellyWCC9082289318691024
James RowbottomSYC65591350828522
Marlion PickettRIC448352000520
Cameron GuthrieGEC1177418721152720
Oscar McInerneyBLR978225862267319
Brodie GrundyCWR988825931976617
Sam Powell-PepperPAC,F6175830314516
Kane LambertRIF568362439315
Jaidyn StephensonNMF,C1157772127514
Jarryd LyonsBLC1368525862473113
Shaun BurgoyneHWF,B101641300413
Jack GrahamRIC,F6282624412212
Noah AndersonGCC64591241829412
James CousinsHWC,F646515471037510
Sam MenegolaGEC8076520210310
Max GawnMER1198923882178210
Elliot YeoWCC86792790218169
Travis BoakPAC79822385167679
Tim EnglishWBR,F86892388227919
Shai BoltonRIC,F448019762267-39
Andrew BrayshawFRC11884135094347
Oscar AllenWCF2584270027
Caleb SerongFRC94832388178167
Ned ReevesHWR64692166165957
Sam DraperESR5477191002693-77
Jeremy McGovernWCB5289270027
Jack SilvagniCAF1068161831236
Zach MerrettESC648618952589-76
Marcus BontempelliWBC123862285227906
Nic NaitanuiWCR79672687218156
Bailey SmithWBC125871973196805
Jacob HopperGWSC547814742069-65
James JordonMEC42643122715
Will SnellingESF9289150015
Tanner BruhnGWSC2761150015
Tom PapleySYF7990140014
Scott LycettPAR79701970146753
Toby NankervisRIR806916642061-43
Willem DrewPAC91781970146753
Caleb GrahamGCB,R347772462113
Tristan XerriNMF287372151823
Paddy RyderSKR63662170146773
James WorpelHWC96832166176343
Darcy ParishESC698417892486-73
Tom HickeySYR997921812379-22
Paddy DowCAC,F77811958145652
Oliver FlorentSYC959151951702
Ollie WinesPAC100772178167652
Adam CerraFRC1298883162922
Jack SteeleSKC106852583178182
Mark BlicavsGEB,C728552041911
Andrew GaffWCC1138772362310
Hugh McCluggageBLC9283517618-1-1
Rhys StanleyGER6172208017813-1
Deven RobertsonBLC,F497212411442-2-1
Jy SimpkinNMC12580298825894-1
Jack MacraeWBC1388721812382-2-1
Taylor AdamsCWC10169217820801-2
Sam WalshCAC7287278221846-2
Chris BurgessGCB,R5079227622790-3
Rory LairdADB,C14275257821814-3
Todd GoldsteinNMR8988267923823-3
Elliott HimmelbergADF8783393120-3
Mabior CholRIR,F29609361339-4-3
Zac BaileyBLC,F6879724927-2-3
George HewettSYC,B688118692172-3-3
Peter LadhamsPAR,F85858307331-3
David MundyFRC5075197316763-3
Jake StringerESF637316842589-9-5
Jamie ElliottCWC,F5190415520-1-5
Christian PetraccaMEC1269819732178-2-5
Brayden FioriniGCC1427119662071-1-5
Sam Petrevski-SetonCAB73686186240-6
Jack MartinCAF588126312-1-6
Tom De KoningCAR8483278222885-6
Luke ParkerSYC1108220772483-4-6
Ben McEvoyHWB,R9283113411410-7
Patrick DangerfieldGEC,F11874156014671-7
Ryan ByrnesSKC677613210-1-7
Caleb DanielWBB1288814311-2-7
Lachie NealeBLC767921722679-5-7
Ben KeaysADC11487257822853-7
Tarryn ThomasNMF,C11581154515540-9
Josh P. KennedySYC1257720772586-5-9
Touk MillerGCC1278824832693-2-10
Errol GuldenSYC,F1058414414-3-10
Luke JacksonMEF4966312622-3-10
Tom MitchellHWC11282195919700-11
Tom GreenGWSC100707371448-7-11
Clayton OliverMEC1268820772489-4-12
Will PhillipsNMC,F55558241036-2-12
Brandan ParfittGEC,F6181312524-2-12
Rory SloaneADC7280237222851-13
Jaeger O'MearaHWC1048621662281-1-15
Tom FullartonBLR,F58754141030-6-16
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F988213452061-7-16
Darcy CameronCWF467627624-4-17
Jack VineyMEC947816622281-6-19
Matt RowellGCC736911381761-6-23
Trent CotchinRIC876916642988-13-24
Devon SmithESC,F598015829-7-24
Quinton NarkleGEC41348321257-4-25
Karl AmonPAC94868301257-4-27
Nat FyfeFRC,F394110381571-5-33
Tim TarantoGWSC67832111345-11-34
Liam ShielsHWC54804131348-9-35
David SwallowGCC95873101346-10-36
Brad CrouchSKC537212401676-4-36
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC878215452382-8-37
Zac FisherCAF5285261144-9-38
Callan WardGWSC6777151448-13-43
Luke DunstanSKC627613431886-5-43
Sean DarcyFRR,F93859351781-8-46
Matthew KennedyCAC,F437910302080-10-50
Joel SelwoodGEC294810401990-9-50
Scott PendleburyCWC,F23104152080-16-65
Connor BlakelyFRC3535519
Ben CunningtonNMC81722061
James HarmesMEB,C62822077
Mark HutchingsWCC,F387713
Paul HunterSKR4160930
Shane EdwardsRIC4673728
Josh SchacheWBF8595312
Will BrodieGCC,F6773517
Xavier O'NeillWCC,F3677310
Patrick CrippsCAC88892267
Jed AndersonNMC7083515
Shane MumfordGWSR54771895
Finlay MacraeCWC,F71681452
Reilly O'BrienADR101912991236
Dylan ShielESC5069421
Sam ReidSYF5278519
Connor RozeePAF738514
Lloyd MeekFRR45791765
Tom LiberatoreWBC92871558
Chad WingardHWF,C86841238
Zak ButtersPAF,C548014
Jarrod BerryBLC3870414

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%L3R%vAvg%
Brent DanielsGWSF797218.83060.211.2
Josh KellyGWSC,F955041.968.353.126.4
George HewettSYC,B69-317.569.351.551.8
Jordan De GoeyCWF812933.25947.825.8
Chris BurgessGCB,R76-329.579.346.549.8
Tim EnglishWBR,F88944.579.343.534.8
Bailey SmithWBC73529.761.343.331.6
Harry SchoenbergADF,C723428.748.343.319.6
Zak JonesSKC70373651.53415.5
Elliot YeoWCC90957.58432.526.5

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage
L3R%vsAvg% – Last three rounds average of CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

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Members can view the full table here


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