CBA Analysis - Round 2 - The Keeper League
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Data Analysis

CBA Analysis – Round 2

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – are a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 2 in the user-friendly table below and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

Zac Williams (20 CBAs; 61% attendance) | 63 AFL Fantasy

Zilliams’ Blues debut was received fairly poorly by the fantasy community; 63 AFL Fantasy points will do that. However, despite the modest first game numbers, the new number six should still make the former, longer sleeved number six proud in the long-run. Williams had a team-high 10 clearances (Cripps and Walsh were equal second-best with five apiece), 14 contested possessions and finished third for metres gained. If we cast our memories back to 2019 – when Z-Dubs was at G-Dubs – Williams was a prolific scorer in his small window of opportunity as a midfielder. In four games with 12 or more CBAs late in the 2019 season, he averaged 113 AFL Fantasy points.

Mark O’Connor (22 CBAs; 85% attendance) | 73 AFL Fantasy 

Cameron Ling, Ryan Crowley, Matt de Boer… Mark O’Connor?? The 24-year-old Irishman was unleashed in the guts as a run-with tagger to shut down the reigning Brownlow Medalist, Lachie Neale – to astonishing success. Neale had 3 disposals to half-time and finished with just 51 AFL Fantasy points as he felt the full brunt of the MO’C lock. Taggers were used more across the round, with O’Connor joined by Shaun Burgoyne (Dusty), Matt de Boer (Mundy), and Jackson Nelson (Bontempelli) in the top 10 biggest CBA movers in round 2. O’Connor isn’t here because he’s a super tempting fantasy option, but if you’re coming up against him – or other potential pesky taggers – keep it in mind for your captaincy options going forward.

Chad Warner (17 CBAs; 53% attendance) | 81 AFL Fantasy

A great pick in both your keeper and Classic sides in 2021, Warner has exploded on the scene as a forward-eligible midfield option. The Keeper League community is perhaps not surprised by Warner’s fantasy output – he averaged 107.1 AFL Fantasy points in WAFL Colts – but the sudden trust, game time and CBAs provided by BoJack is a huge surprise. Perhaps the only coach that thought playing a future Brownlow Medalist in the NEAFL was a good idea, this old Horse has learned some new tricks and is entrusting his youngsters with significant roles. The 19-year-old was dealt a healthy hand of midfield time against Adelaide and appears set to dip his toes into CBA waters throughout 2021.

Fallers

Josh Dunkley (14 CBAs; -23% round dif) | 117 AFL Fantasy

An under the radar CBA slider, given his monstrous round 2 fantasy score, was Josh Dunkley’s drop at the hands of his best mate, Adam Treloar. Dunkley attended 23% fewer centre bounces than round 1, while Treloar jumped up 18%. Perhaps the scariest stat, however, is that when the game was on the line in the final quarter, Dunkley attended the opening centre bounce and was not sighted in the centre square again. Treloar, on the other hand, attended eight of a possible eight centre bounces in the crucial fourth quarter. The concern for Dunkley owners? Treloar only recorded nine total CBAs for the game. Could this be the changing of the guard we flagged on the POD POD? The hottest fire take would be to sell Dunkley now before the mid-time dwindles*. The reality is, we don’t know if the Dogs can continue this manic fantasy-friendly, dominant disposal game style for the season; but while they do, Dunkley’s slight midfield dip might not matter.

*Please Note: I wouldn’t do that – it is the “hottest fire take”.

Hunter Clark (9 CBAs; -35% round dif) | 63 AFL Fantasy

The resurgence of Seb Ross (16 CBAs), the return of Zak Jones (8 CBAs), and the impending return of Brad Crouch this week may spell an end to Clark’s early inside midfield role of 2021. After 24 disposals, six clearances and 91 AFL Fantasy points in round 1, Clark moved down the pecking order in both CBAs and time on ground (a low 72% TOG) in round 2. With co-captain Jack Steele and ‘Diet Coke Zorko’ (Jade Gresham) firmly entrenched in the engine room, Clark will have to fight among the remaining midfielders for a taste of midfield magic.

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%CBA DifCBA% Dif
Mark O'ConnorGEB738522852285
Shaun BurgoyneHWF598416761676
Trent CotchinRIC977516761676
Jed AndersonNMC1277614641464
Jack VineyMEC636616621662
Zac WilliamsCAB637720612061
Matt de BoerGWSC80831152945
Mitch RobinsonBLC418114541043
Jackson NelsonWCB528313411341
James AishFRC6670838838
Paul HunterSKR54752285833
Sebastian RossSKC101821662832
Zak JonesSKC5866831831
Chad WarnerSYF81811753931
Steele SidebottomCWC,F808210301030
Sean DarcyFRR6981629629
Peter WrightESF43861239929
Charlie ConstableGEC73551038728
Rhys StanleyGER109792596325
Andrew BrayshawFRC127851781424
Dustin MartinRIC,F100821886-123
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F76821350322
Travis BoakPAC96752271721
Matt FlynnGWSR72792095021
Tim TarantoGWSC86791257220
Peter LadhamsPAR,F70901342619
Adam TreloarWBC7677928718
Jack MartinCAF7872618618
Lincoln McCarthyBLF5179831317
Todd GoldsteinNMR719222100-317
Dion PrestiaRIC101831886-316
Brent DanielsGWSF4067314314
Cameron ZurhaarNMF5580314314
Callum MillsSYB85842475214
Willem DrewPAC66712581514
Rory LairdADB,C97772991514
Andrew McGrathESC82891961514
Tom FullartonBLR,F3372727213
Josh DaicosCWC7471618513
David SwallowGCC9370941212
Sam WalshCAC87892782612
Will BrodieGCC,F58761150212
Harry SchoenbergADF65771134411
Nathan JonesMEC,F6070415311
Josh P. KennedySYC104812269111
Christian PetraccaMEC124882181511
Darcy ParishESC51841548411
Noah BaltaRIB6382733010
Devon SmithESC6084413310
Joel SelwoodGEC104752181-110
Hugh GreenwoodGCC89741568110
Jade GreshamSKC107751558210
Jack CrispCWB117911648810
Noah AndersonGCC120871464110
Jack SinclairSKC788951928
Nic NaitanuiWCR9772299198
Kyle LangfordESC,F657331027
Mason CoxCWF638741237
Marcus BontempelliWBC117882578107
Oliver FlorentSYC7277103116
Anthony McDonald-TipungwutiESF70792626
Sam DayGCF404531416
Levi CasboultCAF307961825
Toby GreeneGWSF99911515
Daniel HoweHWB,C91801515
James WorpelHWC52711048-35
Hugh McCluggageBLC78811414
Bayley FritschMEF57891414
Joe DaniherBLF819431204
Reilly O'BrienADR4889299124
Zak ButtersPAF1197972313
Tim EnglishWBR638072233
Isaac HeeneySYF82861313
Andrew McPhersonADB26811313
Justin McInerneySYC74661313
Tom PhillipsHWC,F848021003
Taylor AdamsCWC121752679103
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC83791673-53
Jack MacraeWBC113882784103
Brandan ParfittGEC7165831-12
Zac BaileyBLC,F70771038-32
Karl AmonPAC8979103212
Tom HickeySYR57872888-32
Jonathon CeglarHWR6574838-31
Jack BuckleyGWSB,C25801501
Ben KeaysADC9483226911
Stephen ConiglioGWSC92831571-41
Max GawnMER10894238831
Clayton OliverMEC13091249231
Caleb SerongFRC77721362-11
Luke JacksonMEF53803120-1
Ben McEvoyHWB,R47791362-6-1
Lachie WellerGCC10773836-1-2
Liam DugganWCB9885260-2
Nick BlakeySYC,F417839-1-2
Dom SheedWCC928730947-2
Jacob HopperGWSC54831257-4-2
Stefan MartinWBR307725788-3
Cameron GuthrieGEC117731765-4-3
Adam CerraFRC98701362-2-3
Paddy DowCAC,F447312360-4
Billy FramptonADF368039-1-4
Tim KellyWCC1088228886-4
Jack ReddenWCC789213412-5
Andrew GaffWCC60915160-5
Sam ReidSYF438739-2-5
Kysaiah PickettMEF7077312-1-5
Rory SloaneADC87782269-1-5
Marc PittonetCAR638627821-5
David MundyFRC121801152-2-5
Tom LiberatoreWBC927821666-5
Tarryn ThomasNMF5979627-4-6
Brodie GrundyCWR1228929889-7
Scott PendleburyCWC1078518555-7
Jarryd LyonsBLC99791454-8-7
Josh KellyGWSC9087629-4-8
Robbie GrayPAF51841032-2-8
Nathan VardyWCR255039-1-8
Tom PowellNMC5572418-4-9
Tom SparrowMEC616528-2-9
Ollie WinesPAC113711961-2-9
Charlie CameronBLF4187415-5-10
Jy SimpkinNMC84791777-9-10
Brayden SierCWC516217524-10
Toby NankervisRIR51721467-9-10
Sam BerryADC67641134-3-11
Will SetterfieldCAC358039-3-11
Touk MillerGCC130841255-4-12
Alex Neal-BullenMEF917614-3-13
Jaidyn StephensonNMF5184418-6-15
Luke BreustHWF488415-5-15
Jaeger O'MearaHWC74861362-10-15
Zach MerrettESC102892065-4-15
Jamie ElliottCWC,F392813-3-16
Jack SteeleSKC109811973-5-16
Oscar McInerneyBLR43721662-12-16
Dylan ShielESC54641961-4-16
Jack GrahamRIC5282419-7-18
Jye CaldwellESC,F49421135-5-18
Jarrod WittsGCR110751673-6-19
Scott LycettPAR99751858-5-19
Patrick CrippsCAC79871958-4-19
James JordonMEC10565623-4-20
Shai BoltonRIC,F6676733-9-20
Tom MitchellHWC111851257-11-20
Jack BytelSKC1820623-6-21
Mark BlicavsGEB,C719414-7-22
Xavier O'NeillWCC,F4270516-4-22
Luke ParkerSYC98781959-10-22
Jordan De GoeyCWF9088515-3-23
Josh DunkleyWBC,F1178114440-23
Lloyd MeekFRR55781571-7-25
Lachie NealeBLC51881454-15-27
Dom TysonNMC477929-9-28
Sam DraperESR30651961-8-29
Liam ShielsHWC7979838-13-32
Shaun McKernanSKF3785415-9-33
Ed CurnowCAC78761236-9-34
Hunter ClarkSKB6372935-10-35
Callan WardGWSC5568314-11-38
Nat FyfeFRC776315-12-52
Key:

AF = Score from round 2
TOG% = Time on Ground Percentage
CBA = Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% = Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBA Dif = Centre Bounce Attendances Differential (from Round 2)
CBA% Dif = Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage Differential (from Round 2)


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