CBA Analysis - Round 21 - The Keeper League
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Data Analysis

CBA Analysis – Round 21

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyze the CBAs from round 21 in our user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools to better measure the biggest changes to CBA numbers, both long term and week-to-week, and check out my risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy below.

Risers

Tom Papley (15 CBAs, 54% attendance) | 74 AFL Fantasy points
Papley is in good form at the minute, scoring over 70 AFL Fantasy points in his last 5 outings. Traditionally used as a forward, he attended 54% of Sydney’s centre bounces on the weekend. This was rather unusual, as he has only been used at centre bounces in 5 games this year, and had never attended more than 7% of the total centre bounces for Sydney in a single game. On Saturday he saw a 54% increase in his CBA numbers, but it did not seem to boost his fantasy score. We have also seen a number of different players used in the midfield at Sydney over the past few weeks, so John Longmire could just be trying a few different things before finals. However, if Papley does continue in the midfield, he may find more opportunities to boost his fantasy scoring so he is worth watching closely.

Jack Graham (11 CBAs, 46% attendance) | 146 AFL Fantasy points
One of our listeners pointed out that Jack Graham had not been starting at many centre bounces in recent times (thanks Mitchell!). It has been noted that Graham has been starting in the forward line and moving into the midfield throughout the game. As we all know, starting positions are factored into DPP changes for the following year, so there is a chance he gains forward status next season. However, Graham attended 46% of Richmond’s centre bounces on Saturday which was his highest attendance rate since Round 3. The increased CBA numbers led to a bump in fantasy scoring this week, recording a career-high score of 146 AFL Fantasy points. It will be bitter-sweet for owners if these CBA numbers continue for the remainder of the season, as we should see a scoring bump from Graham, but it’ll probably end the chance of DPP status in 2022.

Jarrod Berry (23 CBAs, 79% attendance) | 63 AFL Fantasy points
Berry attended 79% of centre bounces for Brisbane on the weekend, which was a +46.9% differential on his season average of 32.1%. I must admit, I didn’t get a chance to see much of this game but reports tell me he was used as a tagger, playing on Andrew Brayshaw. We have seen a scoring regression from Berry this season, but this is partly to do with injury. Playing a few tagging roles might not be the worst thing for Berry, as he can still play a role for Brisbane while he builds up his fitness. Whilst 2021 might be a write-off, if he can get involved as a tagger (and perhaps put up some good scores as a result, like Kayne Turner and Mark O’Connor have this season) it will probably hold him in good stead for 2022 – I still have hope for Jarrod Berry.

Fallers

Bailey Smith (10 CBAs; -49% CBA diff.) | 82 AFL Fantasy points
Adam Treloar returned on the weekend, and this means Bailey Smith was the player to get Bevo’d. Smith was averaging 114 from his last 3 coming into this game but was pushed out of the midfield mix, seeing his CBA numbers drop by 49% compared to last weeks numbers. But should you be worried if you own him? In the classic format, there’s probably some cause for concern as it adds unpredictability to his scoring on a week-to-week basis. Knowing Luke Beverage, he’ll throw him back into the midfield mix this weekend and put up a big score just after you have traded him out. From a keeper league perspective, the kid is obviously going to be a gun so you’ll just have to get used to these scoring fluctuations while he climbs the midfield depth chart at Western Bulldogs.

Zac Bailey (2 CBAs; -23% CBA diff.) | 90 AFL Fantasy points
Zac Bailey saw his lowest centre bounce attendance rate for the season on Sunday. He only attended two for the entire game which is down from his average of 28.4 for the year. However, I don’t think it matters too much for a player like Zac Bailey. He’s one of those guys who doesn’t see too much of a scoring bump when he does go into the midfield, and when he plays up forward he usually manages to get amongst the goals which negates the points lost from playing in the middle. So while his CBA numbers were down on the week, I don’t think it’s worth worrying about.

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

Filter:

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Justin McInerneySYC101842157002157
Adam CerraFRC138791488831657
Callan WardGWSC68781757151652
Jack SilvagniCAF1268520636181445
Andrew BrayshawFRC1568415941350244
Joel SelwoodGEC927415831040543
Jed AndersonNMC65751056515541
Matthew KennedyCAC,F10982226910301239
Brandan ParfittGEC,F2584950312638
Shane EdwardsRIC59841063728335
Sam BerryADC,F347093300933
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC918014781545-133
Trent CotchinRIC998415941664-130
Zak ButtersPAC,F8879103314929
Sean DarcyFRR,F85881063935128
Zac FisherCAF7177113426928
David SwallowGCC103821038310728
Jarrod BerryBLC45631240414826
Luke JacksonMER,F95771038312726
Dylan ShielESC756517464211325
Connor RozeePAF698382714723
Curtis TaylorNMF817142200422
Luke DunstanSKC907720631343720
Josh BruceWBF688751900519
Liam BakerRIB,C628431900319
Patrick DangerfieldGEC,F677914781560-118
Tom MitchellHWC1288323771959418
Connor WestWCC577941700417
Jaeger O'MearaHWC1468125832166417
Peter WrightESR,F658361600616
Will PhillipsNMC,F5774739824-115
Finlay MacraeCWC,F596716671452215
Patrick CrippsCAC968526812267414
Hugh McCluggageBLC10978930517413
Ben McEvoyHWB,R538114471134313
Matt RowellGCC706813501138212
Tristan XerriNMF2579633721-112
Clayton OliverMEC1108823882077311
Toby NankervisRIR766812751664-411
Oscar AllenWCF437841727210
Darcy CameronCWF518641727210
Charlie CameronBLF508631000310
Bailey SmithWBC118852281197338
Kysaiah PickettMEF7679280028
Tom HickeySYR718633892181128
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F132841653134538
Paddy DowCAC,F87862166195828
Mitch HannanWBF6978270027
Kane LambertRIF7480531624-17
Zac BaileyBLC,F588293072426
Jacob HopperGWSC817324801474106
Lachie NealeBLC75752377217225
Taylor AdamsCWC1158220832178-15
Touk MillerGCC1358323882483-15
Alex Neal-BullenMEF9276140014
Steele SidebottomCWC,F1148315631659-14
Riley GarciaWBC7673140014
Scott LycettPAR79822273197033
Isaac HeeneySYF9092130013
Archie PerkinsESC,F1761130013
Harry PerrymanGWSB,C8381130013
Joe DaniherBLF5394130013
Tom GreenGWSC4670124073753
Jack VineyMEC64781765166213
Tanner BruhnGWSC2423271512
Jordan De GoeyCWC,F1258120832281-22
Mark BlicavsGEB,C8577422520-12
Reilly O'BrienADR1299425932991-42
Errol GuldenSYC,F5477251411
Oscar McInerneyBLR94822687258611
Quinton NarkleGEC6478633832-21
Brad CrouchSKC86821341124011
Jaidyn StephensonNMC,F8178422721-31
Rory LairdADB,C1047621782578-40
Ryan ByrnesSKC,F7079131300
Ben KeaysADC698221782578-40
Will SnellingESF5989251510
Tom FullartonBLR,F66764134140-1
Elliott HimmelbergADF55812739-1-2
Jack SteeleSKC16285268125831-2
Rhys StanleyGER726914782080-6-2
Jack MartinCAF62771326-1-3
Peter LadhamsPAR,F74798278300-3
James WorpelHWC1068519632166-2-3
Karl AmonPAC122758278300-3
Tim TarantoGWSC5180272110-4
Nic NaitanuiWCR687720832687-6-4
Jy SimpkinNMC1068115832988-14-5
Darcy ParishESC97863184178914-5
Tom LiberatoreWBC1068214521558-1-6
Luke ParkerSYC9473267020776-7
Elliot YeoWCC598120832790-7-7
Zak JonesSKC1247120632170-1-7
James JordonMEC82214312-2-8
Chad WingardHWC,F147819301238-3-8
Christian PetraccaMEC1368917651973-2-8
Sam ReidSYF6781411519-1-8
Travis BoakPAC9784237723850-8
Andrew GaffWCC10386313723-4-10
Noah AndersonGCC80828311241-4-10
David MundyFRC887610631973-9-10
Brodie GrundyCWR1298320832593-5-10
Willem DrewPAC887218601970-1-10
Zach MerrettESC142853184189513-11
Jack MacraeWBC818419702181-2-11
Paul HunterSKR3669619930-3-11
Jamie ElliottCWC,F867814415-3-11
Mabior CholRIR,F4255425936-5-11
Todd GoldsteinNMR708612672679-14-12
Ned ReevesHWR857516532166-5-13
Sam Powell-PepperPAC,F3470517830-3-13
Sam MenegolaGEC817116520-4-14
Tim EnglishWBR,F1058720742388-3-14
Oliver FlorentSYC567013519-4-16
Sam DraperESR677931841910012-16
Jake StringerESC,F9186256816849-16
Shane MumfordGWSR8579237718955-18
Tim KellyWCC678318752893-10-18
Ollie WinesPAC967318602178-3-18
Jack GrahamRIC,F588616624-5-18
Josh P. KennedySYC8363215720771-20
Brayden FioriniGCC1197612461966-7-20
Sebastian RossSKC808412381860-6-22
Sam WalshCAC1088919592782-8-23
Dom SheedWCC848313542480-11-26
Sam FlandersGCF64785191345-8-26
Max GawnMER1098316622388-7-26
Lloyd MeekFRR29446381765-11-27
Cameron GuthrieGEC119628441872-10-28
Jarryd LyonsBLC1538317572586-8-29
Harry SchoenbergADC,F707211412372-12-31
Caleb SerongFRC75669562388-14-32
Marcus BontempelliWBC758314522285-8-33
Josh KellyGWSC,F10284186018950-35
George HewettSYB,C677710271869-8-42
Chris BurgessGCB,R58857272276-15-49
Tom De KoningCAR,F13198252782-19-57
James HarmesMEB,C105774152077-16-62
Shai BoltonRIC,F49752131976-17-63
Rory SloaneADC6579197023-4
Hunter ClarkSKB,C526913
Jack HigginsSKF888039
Josh DunkleyWBC,F53751141
Conor NashHWF95801447
Tom SparrowMEC,F65731350
Darcy MacPhersonGCF5974727
Kyle LangfordESC,F9579411
Toby GreeneGWSF6090310
Brent DanielsGWSF46801860153
Jack ReddenWCC70801458
Shaun HigginsGEC,F858816
Rowan MarshallSKR,F139812681
Dion PrestiaRIC109801275
Callum MillsSYB,C152812978
Zac SmithGCR38751973

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%L3R%vAvg%
Jordan De GoeyCWC,F83834.927.778.122.8
Jake StringerESF68684.522.763.518.1
Jack SilvagniCAF63457.83155.223.2
Justin McInerneySYC57573.81953.215.2
Bailey SmithWBC81832.47448.641.6
Adam CerraFRC885742.749.345.36.6
Finlay MacraeCWC,F671525.459.541.634.1
Rowan MarshallSKR,F8141.15739.915.9
Harry SchoenbergADF,C41412.213.738.811.5
Brent DanielsGWSF60-1923.448.736.625.2

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage
L3R%vsAvg% – Last three rounds average of CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

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Members can view the full table here


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