CBA Analysis - Round 4 - The Keeper League
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Data Analysis

CBA Analysis – Round 4

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – are a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 4 in the NEW LOOK user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools at your disposal to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week – and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

Dan Houston (14 CBAs; 54% attendance) | 110 AFL Fantasy

After a disappointing loss to West Coast in round 3, Ken looked to inject some pace into the engine room against the reigning premiers and he turned to last year’s pre-season midfield hype man, Houston. Injuries to Zak Butters (57% TOG) and Connor Rozzee (88% TOG – but limited to a Dr House forward role following a corky) no doubt aided Houston’s midfield momentum, but getting him involved appeared to be a clear change of tack. Aliir Aliir was the other notable winner from the move; Houston’s vacant kick-ins providing him with an additional +15 AFL Fantasy points, playing on from five of his six kick-ins according to Champion Data.

Callan Ward (23 CBAs; 88% attendance) | 121 AFL Fantasy

Ward was on the watchlist last week following the injuries to captain Stephen Coniglio and pesky tagger Matt de Boer. Whilst Ward increased his CBAs last week, it was unclear whether Leon Cameron would choose to prioritise the 31-year-old with arguably the best hair in the AFL over other star options at his disposal. Well, it’s clear that Cal should restock the hair gel for more camera time at CBAs going forward, after his sizzling 37-disposal, seven-clearance display against the Pies. Could we see Ward have a Travis Boak-esque late-career resurgence after a couple of seasons out of the centre bounce mix?

Nikolas Cox (5 CBAs; 19% attendance) | 93 AFL Fantasy

Lower on the centre bounce spectrum than the other two above, but nevertheless exciting for all forms of fantasy footy – especially keeper leagues. Currently rocking FWD/DEF status in all formats, Cox will likely be neither of those in 2022 fantasy. Starting his career as a supersized wingman, the ultra-talented 19-year-old is getting a taste of some ruck minutes in the absence of fellow Bombers young-gun, Sam Draper. Nik Cox could be the rare fantasy player that makes the swingman role sexy; with his size, skill set, and elite endurance allowing him to play all the juiciest fantasy roles – he might genuinely have the most upside of any young player in the AFL.

Fallers

Noah Anderson (6 CBAS; -47% round diff) | 118 AFL Fantasy

The Suns opted for a new look centre bounce unit against the Blues, removing Anderson (-47%) and Weller (-31%) from the centre bounce mix in favour of more Miller (+5%), Greenwood (+9%), Swallow (+17%) minutes, and the re-introduction of pacey, pressure players MacPherson (+48%) and Rankine (+24%). The Ark wasn’t affected by the move – collecting 30 disposals and an equal team-high 10 clearances – and seemingly roled into stoppages following the centre bounce as per usual. Dew has been one to mess around significantly with his centre bounce rotations in the past (pour one out for the OG GOAT, Fiorini), but keep a close eye on the peripheral attendees in case any juicy options (like MacPherson) retain their role.

Sebastian Ross (2 CBAs; -63% round diff) | 75 AFL Fantasy

Uh oh! Just when long-suffering Seb Ross owners felt a glimmer of hope with an early-season Ross resurgence – the scores took a dip, and now the inside mid time is gone. Perhaps it was inevitable with Brad Crouch arriving in town, but the recent plight of Gresham, the ongoing oldmanitis of Hannebery, and the lack of a Clark or Higgins role change – there was still some hope for Seb. Alas, he is not the hero of this tale; the winning formula in round 4 revolved around new recruit Crouch (+37%), resident butcher Zak Jones (+25%), and promising youngster Bytel (+59%).

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%LRCBALRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Steele SidebottomCWC,F1088315585201038
Callan WardGWSC1217923881550838
Brad CrouchSKC12577288818511037
Brent DanielsGWSF66831246517729
Tom PowellNMC91851138412726
Mitch DuncanGEC96781042417625
Travis BoakPAC908023881963425
Zak JonesSKC857118561131725
Chris BurgessGCB517212571034223
Josh DaicosCWC757883128623
Josh P. KennedySYC777420741653421
Sean DarcyFRR878516551034621
Max GawnMER1329321882067121
Lincoln McCarthyBLF4682836416420
Stefan MartinWBR708218822162-320
Jarrod BranderWCC,F698772213619
Tim KellyWCC908825781860718
Jack CrispCWB939815581040518
David SwallowGCC1128313621345017
Trent CotchinRIC637920771963114
Ben KeaysADC1028626902276414
Scott LycettPAR1018121812067114
Caleb SerongFRC727324832069414
Rory LairdADB,C908323791966413
Nikolas CoxESB,F938451926313
Joel SelwoodGEC1167920831670413
Dom SheedWCC587821661653513
Will PhillipsNMC436062139312
Jonathon CeglarHWR48671034522512
Jack VineyMEC1238218751963-112
Jack ReddenWCC818924751963512
Jack MacraeWBC1138219862574-612
Zak ButtersPAF8357831620211
Darcy ParishESC927822812571-310
Patrick CrippsCAC978520952586-59
Hugh GreenwoodGCC1248015711862-39
James WorpelHWC9680144893959
Paddy DowCAC,F306741931019
Jake StringerESF788421782469-39
Liam ShielsHWC8279103462648
Shai BoltonRIC,F907993582718
Mason CoxCWF366851931227
Marc PittonetCAR858718862379-57
Jack SteeleSKC121882784277707
Cameron GuthrieGEC101711667146126
Chad WarnerSYF95831659165306
Liam DugganWCB868382562025
Tom GreenGWSC72631142113705
Sam WalshCAC988814671862-45
Tom HickeySYR677623852480-15
Clayton OliverMEC1288821882583-45
Touk MillerGCC1409114671862-45
Shane EdwardsRIC738521812377-24
Kysaiah PickettMEF807352151704
Callum MillsSYB918222812377-14
David MundyFRC91841862175913
Christian PetraccaMEC1368418752273-42
Jy SimpkinNMC808827933191-42
Toby NankervisRIR1018222852583-32
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F71859411040-11
Andrew McGrathESC718012441543-31
Andrew GaffWCC86881134103311
Oscar AllenWCF8074103193011
Zach MerrettESC1158121782777-61
Josh DunkleyWBC,F108779411441-50
Mark BlicavsGEB,C648741741700
Billy FramptonADF348331031000
Dustin MartinRIC,F849119732273-30
Reilly O'BrienADR135942690269000
Sam BerryADC536672472400
Marcus BontempelliWBC758413592059-70
Rhys StanleyGER60782083198310
Nic NaitanuiWCR9171226921701-1
Tom MitchellHWC12085206916704-1
Sam ReidSYF8479415517-1-2
Kyle LangfordESC,F69812739-1-2
Lachie NealeBLC968719862288-3-2
Willem DrewPAC457110381240-2-2
Tom SparrowMEC4339417620-2-3
Lachie FogartyCAF6481210414-2-4
Adam TreloarWBC1278214642368-9-4
Jarryd LyonsBLC1007913591664-3-5
Ed CurnowCAC1228517812586-8-5
Jaeger O'MearaHWC8984206917743-5
Jake CarlisleSKB428813411646-3-5
Tim TarantoGWSC1298611421447-3-5
Nathan JonesMEC,F567214310-2-6
Tom PhillipsHWC,F778827313-1-6
Hugh McCluggageBLC1138429416-2-7
Ben CunningtonNMC768321722779-6-7
Levi CasboultCAF4571314621-3-7
Brodie GrundyCWR938321812288-1-7
Hunter ClarkSKB1047426514-3-8
Noah BaltaRIB587828517-3-9
Tom LiberatoreWBC687611502059-9-9
Devon SmithESC68865191029-5-10
Harry SchoenbergADF986610341345-3-11
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC699112411853-6-12
Peter WrightESF497220743086-10-12
Ben McEvoyHWB,R9369196618781-12
Karl AmonPAC888214517-4-13
Ollie WinesPAC917219732687-7-14
Luke ParkerSYC1267917632377-6-14
Peter LadhamsPAR,F25754151033-6-18
Chad WingardHWF1157416551774-1-19
Tim EnglishWBR105824181338-9-20
Luke JacksonMEF44933131033-7-20
James JordonMEC29563131033-7-20
Jordan De GoeyCWF449228728-5-20
Lloyd MeekFRR275313451966-6-21
Scott PendleburyCWC848613501872-5-22
Taylor AdamsCWC675713501872-5-22
Todd GoldsteinNMR9010019663088-11-22
Deven RobertsonBLC,F437115728-6-23
Mark O'ConnorGEB288015632087-5-24
Adam CerraFRC1107811381862-7-24
Andrew BrayshawFRC548113452069-7-24
Jacob HopperGWSC967515582583-10-25
Zac BaileyBLC,F42784181144-7-26
Robbie GrayPAF77943121240-9-28
Oliver FlorentSYC6482271137-9-30
Jack GrahamRIC57823121447-11-35
Brayden SierCWC26285191560-10-41
Noah AndersonGCC118826292276-16-47
Sebastian RossSKC7585262469-22-63
Tom FullartonBLR,F34633142184-18-70
Charlie CameronBLF438529
David AstburyRIB586428
Jake MelkshamMEF487528
Quinton NarkleGEC61561146
Dan HoustonPAB110791454
Joe DaniherBLF269615
Charlie DixonPAF589414
Darcy MacPhersonGCF85801048
Nat FyfeFRC106872172
Caleb GrahamGCB2260943
Tom PapleySYF509027
Nick BlakeySYC,F537427
Darcy FogartyADF50641034
Kayne TurnerNMF66821034
Tom CampbellNMR,F37801034
Izak RankineGCF6288524
Josh KellyGWSC7586623
Will SetterfieldCAC3473629
Levi GreenwoodCWC1736727
Jack RossRIC3676623
Paul SeedsmanADC100871138
Jeremy FinlaysonGWSF8169312
Luke BreustHWF1489517
Jarrod BerryBLC6175836
Rowan MarshallSKR,F72611959
Jack BytelSKC72661959
Shane MumfordGWSR78852388
Oscar McInerneyBLR88781882

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
LRCBA – Last Round Centre Bounce Attendances
LRCBA% – Last Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%
Dan HoustonPAB545413.51840.5
Callan WardGWSC88385150.737
Darcy MacPhersonGCF4848121636
Nat FyfeFRC7244.738.527.3
Shane EdwardsRIC81453.852.727.2
Paul SeedsmanADC38381112.727
Kayne TurnerNMF34348.511.325.5
Steele SidebottomCWC,F5838363622
Peter WrightESF74-1252.266.321.8
Darcy ParishESC811059.266.721.8

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

Get the full ‘Advanced CBA Stats’ table by becoming a member. Sign up here.

Members can view the full table here


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