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CBA Analysis – Round 5

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CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – are a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 5 in the NEW LOOK user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools at your disposal to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week – and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

Archie Perkins (14 CBAs; 56% attendance) | 82 AFL Fantasy

Playing in just his third AFL game, brand new Bomber Archie Perkins managed the promising double upgrade of both CBAs and time on ground (TOG) in round 5. Previously having TOG in the mere 60s, Perkins managed a stellar 81% TOG while receiving season-high CBAs. It’s possible Rutten utilised the shellacking at the hands of the Lions to turn a negative result into a positive learning experience for the 19-year-old. However, Perkins did manage a team-high six score involvements, finished equal-second for inside 50s, third for metres gained, and was just one of a handful of Bombers with 20+ disposals. Don’t shirk the Perk – he’s an option.

Sean Darcy (22 CBAs; 85% attendance) | 101 AFL Fantasy

After becoming a Dual Position Player (DPP) in the AFL Fantasy format (adding FWD status), Darcy moved back into his traditional ruck role with Meek relegated to the two’s. At just 22-years-old it seems like Darcy has been around forever, with fantasy coaches holding onto a distant memory of unlimited potential. Bursting on the scene back in 2017, the then-teenager averaged an unheard of (for a ruckman) 83.6 AFL Fantasy points in his rookie season. Since then, he has decreased his average every year, with untimely injuries and Mrs Mac’s holding him back. Darcy looks to be on a vengeance tour in 2021, plucking strong grabs as a forward, looking impressively agile around the ground, and using his stronger, less puppy-fattish frame to wear down opponents.

Finlay Macrae (10 CBAs; 33% attendance | 54 AFL Fantasy

What a name to live up to in the fantasy community! Nevertheless, Jackson’s brother from another mother certainly resembled his fantasy God-like counterpart in both appearance and footy smarts. The 19-year-old worked his way into great positions and started to find the pill at will when given the opportunity late. Fin was more comfortable in and around the footy – getting exposed to more inside midfield time as the game progressed – and really found his groove in the fourth quarter. He attended five of seven centre bounces in the final term, notching up 12 disposals and 32 AFL Fantasy points. It’s time another Macrae feels the warm embrace of the fantasy community.

Fallers

Joel Selwood (8 CBAs; -43% round diff) | 69 AFL Fantasy

Patrick Dangerfield and Brandon Parfitt’s return from injury in round 5 left Selwood lacking in the CBA department. We can presume Jelwood’s centre bounce usage will be volatile across 2021 given the Cats will want their 32-year-old skipper primed for finals footy – so be ready for a bumpy ride. However, owners can breathe a sigh of relief for the short term; Dangerfield’s new injury should again see Selwood adorning his finest head tape to stem the bleeding of the doubtless noggin nick he’ll cop from another stint of inside bash and crash at the centre bounce.

Josh Kelly (0 CBAs; -23% round diff) | 87 AFL Fantasy

The second time Kelly has made this article as a faller – but the first time it’ll be with some positive vibes! Forward status was awarded to Kelly in AFL Fantasy Classic and any draft or keeper leagues that have DPPs switched on. An amazing result for panicking owners who would have been expecting more than the 87 average that sits next to his once-formidable fantasy name. Playing much more high half-forward in 2021, Kelly mustn’t have got the memo from one-time midfielder Toby Greene that playing well up there won’t bode well for your fantasy ceiling. Instead, Kelly snagged the match-winning goal in round 5, all but ensuring Leon justifies his ingenious fantasy killing move. WAIT! I said positive vibes… DPP!

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Archie PerkinsESC,F82811456001456
Shai BoltonRIC,F1077423749351439
Andrew McGrathESC1338420801244836
Kayne TurnerNMF438214701034436
Scott PendleburyCWC8289258313501233
Karl AmonPAC11086103614932
Nick HolmanGCF847393200932
Sean DarcyFRR1017822851655630
Jacob HopperGWSC788420871558529
James JordonMEC68711141313828
Noah AndersonGCC73741554629925
Jarryd LyonsBLC1307821841359825
Andrew BrayshawFRC1117718691345524
Marlion PickettRIC497772300723
Mitch DuncanGEC1057413651042323
Sam BerryADC33711246724522
Connor RozeePAF717762100621
Lewis YoungWBB379462100621
Matthew KennedyCAC,F447162100621
Luke JacksonMEF8580933313620
Levi GreenwoodCWC74811447727720
Tim TarantoGWSC918014611142319
Joe DaniherBLF1158962415519
Touk MillerGCC10385248614671019
Lachie WellerGCC758151800518
Robbie GrayPAF6489829312517
Jack SinclairSKC768351600516
Andrew GaffWCC1319315501134416
Kyle HartiganHWB309741500415
Tom GreenGWSC776413571142215
Hugh McCluggageBLC1288662429415
David MundyFRC1228020771862215
Oliver FlorentSYC638352227315
Sam WalshCAC1188423821467915
Kyle LangfordESC,F998952027313
Ollie WinesPAC1018224861973513
Ben McEvoyHWB,R659021781966212
Jordan De GoeyCWF31862028412
Mitch RobinsonBLC598031200312
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F108811352941411
Brayden SierCWC3348930519411
Dustin MartinRIC,F978026841973711
Caleb GrahamGCB57821554943611
Tarryn ThomasNMF537721000210
Isaac SmithGEC,F1008121000210
Reilly O'BrienADR9195261002690010
Peter WrightESF708221842074110
Josh DunkleyWBC,F15180145094159
Rory LairdADB,C110802388237909
Marcus BontempelliWBC133851968135969
David SwallowGCC66792071136279
Ben CunningtonNMC978516802172-58
Shane MumfordGWSR888822962388-18
Luke ParkerSYC807716701763-17
Rhys StanleyGER817418902083-27
Charlie DixonPAF70943111427
Sebastian RossSKC51804132627
Callum L. BrownCWF3483270027
Tim O'BrienHWF4576270027
Sam ReidSYF948052241517
Dom SheedWCC103832273216617
Zac BaileyBLC,F408162441826
Kyron HaydenNMB2976150015
Ed CurnowCAC83822486178175
Clayton OliverMEC121922593218845
Darcy FogartyADF43761038103404
Todd GoldsteinNMR719314701966-54
Tom LiberatoreWBC86761554115044
Angus BrayshawMEC7287140014
Levi CasboultCAF658551831424
Daniel HoweHWB,C4078140014
Tom PhillipsHWC,F56823112714
Will PhillipsNMC3971525621-14
Cameron GuthrieGEC807114701667-23
Jack VineyMEC72792178187533
Jack HigginsSKF5978130013
Tim EnglishWBR548262141823
Lachie NealeBLC145822288198632
Nick BlakeySYC,F4579292702
Jack BytelSKC49741961195902
Tim KellyWCC848524802578-12
Nic NaitanuiWCR756021702269-11
Jaeger O'MearaHWC1097619702069-11
Nat FyfeFRC928819732172-21
Scott LycettPAR76882382218121
Tom MitchellHWC1038519702069-11
Josh P. KennedySYC757617742074-30
Jack MacraeWBC115852486198650
Brad CrouchSKC868327872888-1-1
Liam ShielsHWC93779331034-1-1
Ben KeaysADC918923882690-3-2
Luke BreustHWF6684415517-1-2
Hugh GreenwoodGCC7878196815714-3
Chad WingardHWF647414521655-2-3
Harry SchoenbergADF50628311034-2-3
Jack SteeleSKC1158525812784-2-3
Nikolas CoxESB,F4475416519-1-3
Tom CampbellNMR,F60796301034-4-4
James WorpelHWC479112441448-2-4
Marc PittonetCAR6878238218865-4
Jake MelkshamMEF65691428-1-4
Christian PetraccaMEC10282197018751-5
Callan WardGWSC808219832388-4-5
Lachie FogartyCAF778214210-1-6
Jack GrahamRIC1068126312-1-6
Oscar McInerneyBLR4576197618821-6
Willem DrewPAC55419321038-1-6
Tom HickeySYR806618782385-5-7
Chad WarnerSYF587512521659-4-7
Callum MillsSYB1018117742281-5-7
Jeremy FinlaysonGWSF487314312-2-8
Jy SimpkinNMC678517852793-10-8
Toby NankervisRIR11983247722852-8
Josh DaicosCWC5382723831-1-8
Travis BoakPAC828422792388-1-9
Shane EdwardsRIC9879227121811-10
Caleb SerongFRC687119732483-5-10
Kysaiah PickettMEF9583311521-2-10
Trent CotchinRIC6266206520770-12
Jack ReddenWCC1428919632475-5-12
Tom PowellNMC73815251138-6-13
Darcy ParishESC897117682281-5-13
Brodie GrundyCWR1208820672181-1-14
Devon SmithESC568214519-4-15
Jake CarlisleSKB64777231341-6-18
Zach MerrettESC1057515602178-6-18
Patrick CrippsCAC8985217520951-20
Adam TreloarWBC1047812431464-2-21
Max GawnMER1319018672188-3-21
Jarrod BerryBLC3138312836-5-24
Steele SidebottomCWC,F738210331558-5-25
Adam CerraFRC1710281138-9-30
Paul SeedsmanADC10381281138-9-30
Lincoln McCarthyBLF1077614836-7-32
Brent DanielsGWSF83813131246-9-33
Jack CrispCWB124967231558-8-35
Dan HoustonPAB32255181454-9-36
Chris BurgessGCB30855181257-7-39
Joel SelwoodGEC69808402083-12-43
Jake StringerESF37813122178-18-66
Nathan VardyWCR1460930
Xavier O'NeillWCC,F40681033
Jordon SweetWBR73641657
Sam De KoningGEB2981210
Finlay MacraeCWC,F54771033
Paul HunterSKR53762477
Brandan ParfittGEC107831575
Patrick DangerfieldGEC,F7274840
Luke DunstanSKC74761239
Zac WilliamsCAB8180932
Darcy CameronCWF56831033
Todd MarshallPAF957727
Rory LobbFRR,F5381415

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%
Kayne TurnerNMF703620.834.749.2
Sean DarcyFRR853050.85834.2
Archie PerkinsESC,F565622.322.333.7
Brandan ParfittGEC7542.55532.5
Shai BoltonRIC,F743944.445.329.6
Callan WardGWSC83-557.473.725.6
Peter WrightESF841058.681.325.4
Andrew McGrathESC80365555.725
Mitch DuncanGEC652341.341.323.7
David SwallowGCC71949.659.321.4

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

Get the full ‘Advanced CBA Stats’ table by becoming a member. Sign up here.

Members can view the full table here


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