CBA Analysis - Round 6 - The Keeper League
Connect with us

Data Analysis

CBA Analysis – Round 6

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – are a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 6 in our user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week – and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

Steele Sidebottom (29 CBAs; 88% attendance) | 130 AFL Fantasy

Just when salary cappers and keeper coaches alike breathed a sigh of relief – thinking we’d found some fieldable rookie gems – a certain Sidebottom took a big ol fart on our plans. Finlay Macrae (4 CBAs) and Jay Rantall (0) were not a part of Bucks’ Anzac Day midfield plans; opting for a veteran-heavy lineup in an attempt to stave off finals extinction. Steele Sidebottom (+55%), Josh Daicos (+25%) and a random cameo from Josh Thomas (+55%) was the preferred midfield mix for round 6, with Fin Macrae (-21%) and Jack Crisp (-23%) the big CBA losers from the Pies midfield shake-up. Watch this space; De Goey’s return should again rattle the CBA cage at Collingwood.

Seb Ross (19 CBAs; 83% attendance) | 141 AFL Fantasy

Seb Ross has hokey poked his CBA numbers in 2021 in synchrony with the constant ins, outs and back-ins of the Saints rotating injury list and in-form players. A fantasy jet just a few years ago, Ross is surprisingly still just 27-years-old. Could there still be hope for a Ross-urgance? The Saints were spanked by Port and Ratten will surely be shuffling the magnets to turn things around. But will that involve sacrificing Seb – who amassed 31 disposals, eight marks, 10 tackles, 13 contested possessions, six clearances and 511 metres gained; all team-highs? I doubt it.

Bailey Smith (3 CBAs; 11% attendance) | 59 AFL Fantasy

A grand total of three centre bounces doesn’t usually earn a spot in the “risers” section of this article. However, according to Fantasy Freako, Smith attended all three of these centre bounces when Dunkley went down injured; his first recorded CBAs for season 2021. Dunkley has attended 47.3% of the Western Bulldogs Centre Bounces this year, which, excluding ruckman, sits him fourth in the Dogs pecking order. That’s a lot of midfield minutes going to someone, and logic says that person is the mulleted stud. Whilst Smith has sacrificed his game thus far to accommodate Dunkley, Treloar and Libba, the 20-year-old attended 62% of the Dogs CBAs in 2020 and should feel right at home moving back into that role. And if it’s not Smith… LIPINSKI SZN!

Fallers

Callum Mills (11 CBAs; -32% round diff) | 142 AFL Fantasy

A perfect example of where a dip in CBAs did not correlate with a dip in fantasy output. With the emergence of Chad Warner, the return of James Rowbottom, and the lack of Dane Rampe; Callum Mills, at times, found himself mopping up in the defensive 50 instead of in at the coalface. If anything, the fact Mills was moved to defence when the Swans were struggling should be seen as a positive. Mills was still able to play enough midfield to get the hugs we want for those +4s, yet also sneak down back for some Ziebell’s (the new term for +6s).

Sam Walsh (18 CBAs; -24% round diff) | 123 AFL Fantasy

A couple of feel-good fallers this week, both with mammoth scores despite dropping their centre bounce attendances. The strange one in the Walsh story is who he sacrificed them for. Surely it was Liam Stocker, right? The player Carlton drafted as an inside midfielder who just notched up 38 disposals, 13 marks, 8 tackles and a goal playing in the VFL last week? Nope! Good ol’ Training Wheels injected David Cunningham (14 CBAs; +45%; 52 AFL Fantasy) into the guts in a Josh Thomas-y display of coaching prowess. Expect a few more changes in the coming weeks as the Blues look for the right mix alongside Cripps, Walsh, Williams and Curnow.

…I WANT HIM IN MY TEAAA- sorry.

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Jake StringerESF778127823122470
Sebastian RossSKC1418119834131570
Josh ThomasCWF60691855001855
Steele SidebottomCWC,F13087298810331955
Joel SelwoodGEC937723798401539
Tarryn ThomasNMF79771045210835
Paul SeedsmanADC103811441281233
Josh DaicosCWC77801648723925
Chad WarnerSYF938320771252825
Dan HoustonPAB127821043518525
Nathan JonesMEC,F647152400524
Brent DanielsGWSF46811037313724
Jack GrahamRIC827962926423
Robbie GrayPAF52911252829423
Nat FyfeFRC1078621951973222
Rory LobbFRR,F6385836415421
Dom SheedWCC478227932273520
Noah AndersonGCC1207819731554419
Brodie GrundyCWR1248328852067818
Jack HenryGEB998451700517
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F1118021681352816
Willem DrewPAC75721148932216
Caleb GrahamGCB297018691554315
Darcy FogartyADF316418531038815
Noah BaltaRIB307131400314
Chris BurgessGCB5870831518313
Jeremy FinlaysonGWSF477941514311
Bailey SmithWBC598231100311
Christian PetraccaMEC1378717811970-211
Zach MerrettESC1257823701560810
Ben McEvoyHWB,R828830882178910
Jack SinclairSKC7873626516110
Scott LycettPAR917821912382-29
Lincoln McCarthyBLF68774131439
Adam TreloarWBC115851452124329
Lachie WellerGCC807672751829
Jack ReddenWCC67842172196329
Tim EnglishWBR506583062129
Max GawnMER1079216761867-29
Patrick CrippsCAC69852684217559
Marc PittonetCAR61812890238258
Oscar McInerneyBLR80872684197678
Kysaiah PickettMEF708441931118
Nathan VardyWCR5172113893028
Jake MelkshamMEF45652101416
James WorpelHWC65771750124456
Lachie FogartyCAF55803101426
Cameron GuthrieGEC110752276147086
Tom CampbellNMR,F638083663026
Kane LambertRIF4155150015
Callum L. BrownCWF59714122725
Hugh McCluggageBLC1088892962435
Tom MitchellHWC100862574197064
Ben AinsworthGCF10572140014
Toby NankervisRIR918317812477-74
Callum Ah CheeBLB4281130013
Josh P. KennedySYC146772077177433
Luke ParkerSYC105791973167033
Jarrod BranderWCC,F3981130013
Tim O'BrienHWF7386392712
Callan WardGWSC56852385198342
Trent CotchinRIC506814672065-62
Scott PendleburyCWC90782885258332
Darcy ParishESC150752370176862
James JordonMEC63569431141-22
Jaeger O'MearaHWC109812471197051
Sam ReidSYF617962352211
Caleb SerongFRC1437616731973-30
Devon SmithESC788413140-1
Jack MacraeWBC1598523852486-1-1
Marcus BontempelliWBC1028818671968-1-1
Travis BoakPAC1127718782279-4-1
Will PhillipsNMC37825235250-2
Tom PowellNMC102815235250-2
Chad WingardHWF6583175014523-2
Reilly O'BrienADR108973397261007-3
Jack SteeleSKC1068718782581-7-3
Luke BreustHWF78774124150-3
Zac WilliamsCAB85769299320-3
Todd MarshallPAF47721427-1-3
Shane EdwardsRIC848114672271-8-4
Andrew BrayshawFRC1217314641869-4-5
Tom PhillipsHWC,F838026311-1-5
Nick BlakeySYC,F40431429-1-5
Tim TarantoGWSC10485155614611-5
Todd GoldsteinNMR8586146414700-6
Jake CarlisleSKB2966417723-3-6
Jarryd LyonsBLC9579247721843-7
Rhys StanleyGER9383248318906-7
Charlie DixonPAF7010014311-2-7
Lachie NealeBLC8382258122883-7
Isaac SmithGEC,F1048213210-1-7
Levi CasboultCAF4980310518-2-8
Kyle LangfordESC,F6881412520-1-8
Joe DaniherBLF7792516624-1-8
Nic NaitanuiWCR706218622170-3-8
Luke JacksonMEF10086524933-4-9
Jacob HopperGWSC9879217820871-9
Josh DunkleyWBC,F1007211411450-3-9
Touk MillerGCC1428320772486-4-9
Oliver FlorentSYC9083312522-2-10
Tom LiberatoreWBC1317312441554-3-10
Zac BaileyBLC,F7681413624-2-11
Connor RozeePAF769029621-4-12
Xavier O'NeillWCC,F49716211033-4-12
Ed CurnowCAC1317723742486-1-12
Ben KeaysADC15686267623883-12
Jy SimpkinNMC908616731785-1-12
David SwallowGCC1147515582071-5-13
Tom GreenGWSC406512441357-1-13
Tim KellyWCC528319662480-5-14
Hugh GreenwoodGCC928314541968-5-14
Rory LairdADB,C10980257423882-14
Liam ShielsHWC7373618933-3-15
Ben CunningtonNMC958214641680-2-16
Andrew McGrathESC8680216420801-16
Andrew GaffWCC938410341550-5-16
Shai BoltonRIC,F1228312572374-11-17
Clayton OliverMEC1248716762593-9-17
Marlion PickettRIC708115723-6-18
Darcy CameronCWF120915151033-5-18
David MundyFRC1137013592077-7-18
Brandan ParfittGEC4865165515751-20
Finlay MacraeCWC,F26774121033-6-21
Sean DarcyFRR1088414642285-8-21
Ollie WinesPAC1297415652486-9-21
Sam WalshCAC1238218582382-5-24
Brad CrouchSKC497214612787-13-26
Jack VineyMEC947910482178-11-30
Dustin MartinRIC,F255411522684-15-32
Karl AmonPAC13677141036-9-32
Callum MillsSYB1428611421774-6-32
Kayne TurnerNMF70778361470-6-34
Jack BytelSKC13173131961-16-48
Peter WrightESF114909272184-12-57
Mitch DuncanGEC14684271365-11-58
Mark O'ConnorGEB88712379
Mitch LewisHWF669213
Andrew PhillipsESR69712473
Elliott HimmelbergADF478613
Jack RossRIC2634524
Deven RobertsonBLC,F7574516
Cameron ZurhaarNMF487715
Connor BlakelyFRC12729
Sam FlandersGCF647228
Rowan MarshallSKR,F124801983
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC6385732
Callum SinclairSYR110861973
James CousinsHWC6678721
James RowbottomSYC8370519
Stefan MartinWBR62671970
Jackson HatelyADC75651956
David CuninghamCAF52771445
Matt FlynnGWSR68792385
Jamaine JonesWCF4075310
Zak JonesSKC2969939

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%
Josh ThomasCWF55559.218.345.8
Steele SidebottomCWC,F885545.859.742.2
Sebastian RossSKC837043.83439.2
Nat FyfeFRC952260.48034.6
Josh DaicosCWC482522.23425.8
Paul SeedsmanADC413315.52925.5
Tarryn ThomasNMF453519.718.325.3
Chad WarnerSYF772552.762.724.3
Dan HoustonPAB432519.238.323.8
Callan WardGWSC8526285.323

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

Get the full ‘Advanced CBA Stats’ table by becoming a member. Sign up here.

Members can view the full table here


If you’re a keeper coach that dabbles in some cheeky AFL Fantasy Classic, check out the brand new podcast brought to you by the Keeper League Podcast!

The Point of Difference AFL Fantasy Podcast – out NOW! 

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

More in Data Analysis