CBA Analysis - Round 7 - The Keeper League
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CBA Analysis – Round 7

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 6 in our user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week – and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

James Worpel (24 CBAs; 75% attendance) | 124 AFL Fantasy

Sporadic CBAs and time on ground (TOG) in the low 70s was not what Worpel owners had envisioned for season 2021. The 2019 Peter Crimmins Medalist has struggled in the early goings, shifting away from his prolific ball-winning style of play to focus primarily on negating roles. Worpel’s previous season-high in centre bounce usage was round 5, where he recorded just a 50% attendance rate. However, the joy of Worpedo owners could be short-lived with CBA hogs, Jaeger O’Meara and Chad Wingard only missing due to soreness. There’s perhaps a small window for a sell-high opportunity in single season leagues.

Kayne Turner (25 CBAs; 81% attendance) | 109 AFL Fantasy

Could Kayne Turner be the next Mark O’Connor? After the success of the “MO’C Lock” at Geelong – switching their prized Irish lockdown defender into a clamp God in the mids – David Noble has looked to convert his 25-year-old, 180cm small forward, Kayne Turner into the “Kayne Pain”. The “Turner Burner”? We’ll workshop that one, but he’s made Kayne Turner a tagger. Turner staked his claim on a permanent role in the guts in the Roos surprisingly competitive outing against the ladder-leading Dees, recording 27 disposals, 5 marks and 6 tackles while paying close attention to Oliver, Brayshaw, and Petracca at various stages of the game. Beware the “Kayne Stain” going forward. 

Josh Daicos (16 CBAs; 70% attendance) | 99 AFL Fantasy

The CBA merry-go-round continued at the Pies in round 7. Last week’s big riser Steele Sidebottom (-45%) went back outside, while Scott Pendlebury (-15%), Callum Brown (-12%), Finally Macrae (-12%), and Josh Thomas (-7%) made way for Jordan De Goey (+70%) and another Daicos bump (+22%). Until they get a win on the board, the topsy-turvy midfield mix may continue as Bucks searches for answers. However, Daicos should become a steady hand in the CBA mix. The 22-year-old led the Pies for score involvements, was second to Grundy in centre clearances and provided some quality ball use and pizzazz in a midfield mix struggling to find their mojo. The forward DPP eligibility in the AFL Fantasy format is a blessing now given his sudden change of CBA fortunes. 

Fallers

Chad Warner (16 CBAs; -24% round diff) | 74 AFL Fantasy

AFL Fantasy Classic owners have milked this cash cow for all he’s worth – and there’s still some meat on the bone! But there were warning signs on the weekend that Warner could be another victim of the Swans midfield depth. James Rowbottom (+44%) worked his way back into form after returning from injury and was instrumental in the nail-biting win over the Cats. Similarly crucial was Oliver Florent (+18%); one of Sydney’s best in a more prominent midfield role. But wait, there’s more! Callum Mills attended 0 CBAs as he filled the backline void of the injured Dane Rampe who appears set to return this week and presumably free up Mills. Warner is a long-term keeper in your keeper leagues, but for the short-term may face a challenging “mouths to feed” conundrum with the talent around him and a Horse for a coach. 

Rowan Marshall (10 CBAs; -52% round diff) | 84 AFL Fantasy

The Pride of Portland predictably moved into a forward-ruck hybrid role with the return of Paddy Ryder. Marshall has a quality floor regardless of his forward-ruck split but his ceiling as a potential dominant ruck just behind the Gawn and Grundy duo may remain a distant dream under the reign of Ratten. The formula to success has seen Row-Mar play alongside a dominant tap ruckman and that will continue in 2021, so long as Ryder stays healthy. Expect a few 120s here and there if Ryder gets a rest or Marshall kicks a bag; incredibly valuable for a forward-eligible player! Expect a nice, healthy floor with a high ceiling game or two coming as a nice surprise for owners throughout the season. 

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Angus BrayshawMEC60781445001445
Kayne TurnerNMF1098525818361745
James RowbottomSYC928219635191444
James CousinsHWC967218567211135
Ned McHenryADF677183500835
Harry SchoenbergADF537483500835
Tom LiberatoreWBC758417771244533
Finn MaginnessHWC52811031001031
Liam DugganWCB75831029001029
Jarman ImpeyHWF1028082500825
James WorpelHWC1247924751750725
Darcy Byrne-JonesPAB618152300523
Mark BlicavsGEB,C509672300723
Josh DaicosCWC997216701648022
Brandan ParfittGEC777123771655722
Ollie WinesPAC1267619861565421
Hugh GreenwoodGCC1248217741454320
Andrew GaffWCC1118518531034819
Hunter ClarkSKB1138161900619
Marlion PickettRIC788052315418
Andrew BrayshawFRC10374288214641418
Oliver FlorentSYC10082930312618
Luke JacksonMEF78791342524818
Nic NaitanuiWCR966327791862917
Josh KellyGWSC1218541700417
Deven RobertsonBLC,F4469732516216
Tim KellyWCC1418428821966916
Stefan MartinWBR457519861970016
Sam WalshCAC12793287418581016
Darcy CameronCWF7980730515215
Zac BaileyBLC,F8170627413214
Darcy ParishESC1068332842370914
Charlie DixonPAF539541814314
Jarryd LyonsBLC1068420912477-414
Sean DarcyFRR5983267614641212
Zak JonesSKC151801650939711
Willem DrewPAC1177313591148211
Ben KeaysADC1068420872676-611
Mitch LewisHWF338441313310
Tim TarantoGWSC140801565155609
David MundyFRC1017823681359109
Jacob HopperGWSC1078120872178-19
Rory LairdADB,C947919832574-69
Riley ThilthorpeADR,F4681290029
Nathan JonesMEC,F5859103252458
Sam Petrevski-SetonCAB4646380038
Brad CrouchSKC105862269146188
Levi CasboultCAF358071831048
Jack RossRIC487073252428
Luke ParkerSYC68842480197357
Tarryn ThomasNMF55721652104567
Peter WrightESF8081133492747
Tom MitchellHWC128872681257417
Jacob KoschitzkeHWB5385260026
Will PhillipsNMC667792952346
Touk MillerGCC1308819832077-16
Elliott HimmelbergADF2492291316
Toby NankervisRIR95781986178125
Jake AartsRIF7887150015
Josh BruceWBF4488150015
Tom J. LynchRIF105100150015
Izak RankineGCF5681140014
Joel SelwoodGEC109792583237924
Todd GoldsteinNMR57942168146474
Cameron GuthrieGEC118762480227624
Nick HolmanGCF4269140014
Bailey SmithWBC998331431103
Tom PapleySYF5179130013
Alex Neal-BullenMEF2471130013
Tom AtkinsGEF6584130013
Jake MelkshamMEF696841321023
Tom PowellNMC1047982652333
Callan WardGWSC878120872385-32
Andrew McGrathESC97762566216442
Ed CurnowCAC105872976237462
Joe DaniherBLF8088418516-12
Clayton OliverMEC94882477167681
Marcus BontempelliWBC1048515681867-31
Zach MerrettESC103812771237041
Caleb GrahamGCB526916701869-21
Mitch DuncanGEC11691272700
Christian PetraccaMEC97882581178180
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F1008115682168-60
Isaac SmithGEC,F9689131300
Connor RozeePAF7690292900
Tom PhillipsHWC,F7073262600
James JordonMEC917213429434-1
Chris BurgessGCB5269730831-1-1
Patrick CrippsCAC8284318226845-2
Liam ShielsHWC11977516618-1-2
Adam TreloarWBC1008211501452-3-2
Jeremy FinlaysonGWSF4385313415-1-2
Lachie FogartyCAF6279383100-2
Oscar McInerneyBLR587418822684-8-2
Ben CunningtonNMC12684196114645-3
Jack MacraeWBC1138318822385-5-3
Jake StringerESF8779307927823-3
Tom CampbellNMR,F546810328362-4
Lachie WellerGCC9072522727-2-5
Paul SeedsmanADC101878351441-6-6
Hugh McCluggageBLC11981523929-4-6
Jack SteeleSKC8980237218785-6
Jack HenryGEB9686310517-2-7
Shai BoltonRIC,F1018411501257-1-7
Josh ThomasCWF677111481855-7-7
Jack ReddenWCC10383226521721-7
Ben McEvoyHWB,R978226813088-4-7
Josh P. KennedySYC7974217020771-7
Shane EdwardsRIC597913591467-1-8
Noah AndersonGCC788615651973-4-8
Marc PittonetCAR8080318228903-8
Tom GreenGWSC79798351244-4-9
Luke BreustHWF708013412-3-9
David SwallowGCC828011481558-4-10
Dan HoustonPAB62717321043-3-11
Jack GrahamRIC6873418629-2-11
David CuninghamCAF848313341445-1-11
Rory LobbFRR,F641008248360-12
Trent CotchinRIC836312551467-2-12
Kysaiah PickettMEF757726419-2-13
Reilly O'BrienADR548119833397-14-14
Scott PendleburyCWC988316702885-12-15
Brodie GrundyCWR1198516702885-12-15
Rhys StanleyGER456520672483-4-16
Nathan VardyWCR35577211138-4-17
Max GawnMER7297185816762-18
Nat FyfeFRC7990267621955-19
Jy SimpkinNMC11087165216730-21
Dom SheedWCC1018224712793-3-22
Chad WarnerSYF748216532077-4-24
Caleb SerongFRC7166164716730-26
Brent DanielsGWSF1310141037-9-33
Jackson HatelyADC54705221956-14-34
Steele SidebottomCWC,F798110432988-19-45
Rowan MarshallSKR,F848110311983-9-52
Sebastian RossSKC108818251983-11-58
Callum SinclairSYR39854131973-15-60
Lachie WhitfieldGWSB1107514
Riley Collier-DawkinsRIC63701568
Rhys MathiesonBLC,F63751359
Paddy DowCAC,F1914718
Shane MumfordGWSR66782087
Tom HickeySYR92782687
Jack BytelSKC83731959316
Nick BryanESR67612566
Ryan ByrnesSKC757326
Josh SchacheWBF445829
Sam BerryADC547314
Jack GunstonHWF317926
Paddy RyderSKR72722269
Scott LycettPAR4978188221-3
Jordan De GoeyCWF47911670
Patrick LipinskiWBC737629
Quinton NarkleGEC51581447
Darcy TuckerFRC6170926
Sam Powell-PepperPAC,F58691045
Robbie GrayPAF7887104512-2

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%
Kayne TurnerNMF814531.662.349.4
Josh DaicosCWC7022294741
Jordan De GoeyCWF7029.84540.2
Angus BrayshawMEC4545716.338
Josh ThomasCWF48-714.734.333.3
Ned McHenryADF35355.411.729.6
Tarryn ThomasNMF52724.335.727.7
Brandan ParfittGEC772250.36926.7
James WorpelHWC752549.656.325.4
James RowbottomSYC634441.34121.7

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

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Members can view the full table here


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