CBA Analysis - Round 8 - The Keeper League
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CBA Analysis – Round 8

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role. 

Analyse the CBAs from round 8 in our user-friendly table below – featuring advanced analytic tools to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week – and check out my five risers and fallers to monitor in AFL Fantasy.

Risers

Josh Kelly (24 CBAs; 69% attendance) | 105 AFL Fantasy

Kelly finally found his way back into the centre bounce rotation this week – in a big way! The 26-year-old was the leading centre bounce attendee for the GIANTS, amassing 30 disposals, nine score involvements, seven clearances and, most importantly, 105 AFL Fantasy points. Kelly received eight coaches votes for his performance – a good sign that Leon was pleased in Kelly’s return to the inside, after attending an average of just 21.9% of CBAs this season.

Zak Jones (16 CBAs; 84% attendance) | 123 AFL Fantasy

It’s been a slow build-up for Jones in 2021. After returning from a hamstring injury sustained in the pre-season, Jones returned to the Saints lineup in round 2 but played limited time on ground (TOG). In fact, he’s only played over 70% TOG in three of his six matches in 2021; averaging 119.7 AFL Fantasy points in those three games. As with his TOG, Jones’ CBAs have seen a rise in recent weeks. After having an average CBA attendance rate of 48.5% for the season, Jones eclipsed this by 35.5% in round 8 – a promising sign of things to come.

James Harmes (12 CBAs; 55% attendance) | 100 AFL Fantasy

Harmes returned from a broken wrist to be one of the Dees prime movers in the midfield in round 8. After a failed role change in defence last season, the 25-year-old found himself back in the guts and was third behind Clayton Oliver and Christian Petracca for CBAs. In just his second game for the season, Harmes racked up 31 disposals, seven tackles and five clearances to ensure Goodwin keeps him well and truly in the engine room. Jack Viney’s return in the coming weeks is a huge concern for Harmes’ heavy midfield attendance and thus ceiling, however, he’ll get a taste of the action – and as a defender eligible player, that’s enough to make him relevant.

Fallers

Jordan De Goey (0 CBAs; -70% round diff) | 106 AFL Fantasy

Another week, another Pie. The CBA shuffle continued again this week, with De Goey moving deep into the goal square to provide a target during Collingwood’s must-win game against the Roos. He was outstanding in the role, gathering 17 disposals and kicking six snags. De Goey owners shouldn’t get too excited – this was North Melbourne… and Aidan Bonar marking him. Far more interesting than JDG, will be the continuing cycle of centre bounce attendees for the remainder of Bucks reign. In round 8 the big winners were Crisp (+89%) and Sidebottom (+32%), with the big losers – aside from De Goey (if we’re calling him a loser despite his six-goal fantasy ton) – were Thomas (-48%), Pendles (-45%) and Daicos (-45%).

Riley Collier-Dawkins (9 CBAs; -40% round diff) | 64 AFL Fantasy

Dusty returned from his KO to slot straight back into the CBA mix – notching 22 CBAs – whilst Pickett, Edwards (pre-injury), Graham and Bolton picked up the slack of their injured skipper. Meanwhile, second gamer RCD suffered the CBA fall. Despite many predicting a rise in CBAs, Collier-Dawkins was one of the casualties of a new-look setup against the rampaging Cats. The CBA dip didn’t hurt the 21-year-old’s scoring clip, notching one extra fantasy point in a varied role. With injuries to Edwards (21 CBAs) and Bolton (19 CBAs), one would assume RCD gets a more prominent inside role again and perhaps even an uptick in TOG. Keeper and salary cap coaches alike will be watching closely to see if he can take full advantage of the opportunity.

Tables

Last Round vs Previous Round

PlayerClubPosAFTOG%CBACBA%PRCBAPRCBA%CBADifCBA%Dif
Jack CrispCWB126862589002589
Callum MillsSYB133831777001777
Josh KellyGWSC1058424694172052
Archie PerkinsESC,F60711337001337
David SwallowGCC1308116841148536
Zak JonesSKC1237816841650034
Sam BerryADC438083814734
Steele SidebottomCWC,F7085217510431132
Jack ScrimshawHWB1048083200832
Marlion PickettRIC487617535231230
David CuninghamCAF628120611334727
Brad CrouchSKC1098218952269-426
Jack GrahamRIC71761341418923
Ben CunningtonNMC768623821961421
Luke BreustHWF827662413521
Karl AmonPAC1118641900419
Caleb SerongFRC757218641647217
Brodie GrundyCWR1128624861670816
Zac BaileyBLC,F89781243627616
Jamaine JonesWCF747741600416
Mitch DuncanGEC1358172227515
Max GawnMER1088416731858-215
Adam TreloarWBC10376216411501014
Toby GreeneGWSF1089351400514
Todd GoldsteinNMR849423822168214
Caleb GrahamGCB337916841670014
Clayton OliverMEC1028720912477-414
Bailey SmithWBC5580927314613
Scott LycettPAR1089120951882213
Robbie GrayPAF728912571045212
Mark BlicavsGEB,C107881134723411
Tim KellyWCC1128323922882-510
Devon SmithESC5378390039
Shai BoltonRIC,F85871959115089
Andrew McGrathESC75802674256618
Marcus BontempelliWBC1318725761568108
Cameron GuthrieGEC139792888248048
Kysaiah PickettMEF56833142618
Jack ReddenWCC838318722265-47
Reilly O'BrienADR73881990198307
Hugh McCluggageBLC1107982952336
Sean DarcyFRR1008023822676-36
Alex Neal-BullenMEF8074291316
Rhys MathiesonBLC,F65741864135955
Nic NaitanuiWCR686721842779-65
Jy SimpkinNMC52821657165205
Paddy RyderSKR718314742269-85
Liam ShielsHWC817852051604
Harry MorrisonHWB,C7684140014
Jeremy FinlaysonGWSF638361731334
Josh BruceWBF11983391524
Michael WaltersFRC,F4784140014
Tom HickeySYR748020912687-64
Deven RobertsonBLC,F3666103673234
Mitch LewisHWF648241641303
Sam MenegolaGEC10988130013
Kyle LangfordESC,F10086130013
Marc PittonetCAR778328853182-33
Joe DaniherBLF869162141823
Ben McEvoyHWB,R868121842681-53
Oliver FlorentSYC7974732930-22
Jack SteeleSKC1368714742372-92
Elliott HimmelbergADF49892102901
Jake MelkshamMEF5271314413-11
Tim TarantoGWSC125822366156581
Christian PetraccaMEC968918822581-71
Nick HolmanGCF8383151401
Hugh GreenwoodGCC857914741774-30
Zach MerrettESC1287925712771-20
Brandan ParfittGEC767316502350-70
Shane EdwardsRIC66642166136680
Lachie WellerGCC7279421522-1-1
Sam WalshCAC858324732874-4-1
Toby NankervisRIR6879278419868-2
Tom PhillipsHWC,F81781426-1-2
Jarryd LyonsBLC12184258920915-2
Rory LairdADB,C1007717811983-2-2
Dom SheedWCC1358617682471-7-3
Oscar McInerneyBLR6877227918824-3
Levi CasboultCAF6881515718-2-3
James WorpelHWC1058418722475-6-3
Ed CurnowCAC967824732976-5-3
Connor RozeePAF105821529-1-4
Shane MumfordGWSR4680298320879-4
Callum SinclairSYR537629413-2-4
Touk MillerGCC1197815791983-4-4
Sam Petrevski-SetonCAB18151338-2-5
Rowan MarshallSKR,F75805261031-5-5
Ben KeaysADC918517812087-3-6
Rory LobbFRR,F9197518824-3-6
James JordonMEC95718361342-5-6
Tom GreenGWSC1027610298352-6
Tom LiberatoreWBC9074237017776-7
David MundyFRC928117612368-6-7
Darcy ParishESC1178027773284-5-7
Willem DrewPAC717311521359-2-7
Tom PowellNMC5880518826-3-8
Chad WarnerSYF648310451653-6-8
Tarryn ThomasNMF757912431652-4-9
Tom MitchellHWC1248218722681-8-9
Jack BytelSKC53749471959-10-12
Luke ParkerSYC1138115682480-9-12
Patrick CrippsCAC558523703182-8-12
Charlie DixonPAF829215418-3-13
Tom CampbellNMR,F88675181032-5-14
Joel SelwoodGEC827622692583-3-14
Chris BurgessGCB5476316730-4-14
Luke JacksonMEF53706271342-7-15
Nat FyfeFRC1038917612676-9-15
Ollie WinesPAC707415711986-4-15
Darcy CameronCWF7678414730-3-16
Quinton NarkleGEC483310311447-4-16
Harry SchoenbergADF7487419835-4-16
Peter WrightESF49776171334-7-17
Jack MacraeWBC10184216418823-18
Jacob HopperGWSC7375236620873-21
Sam Powell-PepperPAC,F73715241045-5-21
Kayne TurnerNMF708316572581-9-24
Andrew GaffWCC137957281853-11-25
Andrew BrayshawFRC837616572882-12-25
Paul SeedsmanADC9986210835-6-25
James RowbottomSYC115638361963-11-27
Noah AndersonGCC65757371565-8-28
James CousinsHWC74747281856-11-28
Josh P. KennedySYC97709412170-12-29
Dayne ZorkoBLC,F828311391568-4-29
Callan WardGWSC7884205720870-30
Riley Collier-DawkinsRIC64639281568-6-40
Josh DaicosCWC73797251670-9-45
Scott PendleburyCWC85827251670-9-45
Jake StringerESF304610293079-20-50
Connor BlakelyFRC45531554
Esava RatugoleaGER,F48742166
Bailey J. WilliamsWCR,F5364416
Jordon SweetWBR65873091
Brendon Ah CheeWCF10176624
Tyler BrownCWC58802486
Darcy FogartyADF4475419
James HarmesMEB100751255
Chad WingardHWF73761144
Zac WilliamsCAB2879721
Dustin MartinRIC,F67882269
Shaun HigginsGEC78691238
Travis BoakPAC88831571
Andrew PhillipsESR89742983
Rory SloaneADC113841152
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC65851243

Key:

AF – AFL Fantasy points scored last round
TOG% – Percentage of Time On Ground last round
CBA – Centre Bounce Attendances
CBA% – Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
PRCBA – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendances
PRCBA% – Previous Round Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage
CBADif – CBA Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round
CBA%Dif – CBA% Differential of Last Round vs Previous Round


Advanced CBA Stats

PlayerClubPosLR%LR%vPR%Avg%L3Avg%LR%vAvg%
Jack CrispCWB89893729.752
Josh KellyGWSC695221.928.747.1
Marlion PickettRIC5330132740
Connor BlakelyFRC5416.831.537.2
Zak JonesSKC843448.557.735.5
David SwallowGCC843654.863.329.2
Steele SidebottomCWC,F753249.668.725.4
Kayne TurnerNMF57-2434.85822.2
Sean DarcyFRR82660.77421.3
Bailey SmithWBC27136.517.320.5

Key:

LR% – Percentage of CBAs last round
LR%vsPR% – Percentage of CBAs last round versus percentage of CBAs previous round
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three rounds
LR%vsAvg% – Last round CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

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