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CBAs Analysis: Round 2, 2022 – AFL Fantasy

See who some of the winners and losers were from a CBA perspective over the weekend.

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role.

Analyse the CBAs from the weekend of football in our user-friendly tables in our premium resources section – featuring advanced analytical tools to better measure the biggest changes, both seasonally and week-to-week.

Below, see who some of the winners and losers were from a CBA perspective over the weekend.

Tom Liberatore

As predicted, Libba bounced back this week.

After only attending one centre bounce the week prior, he was back in full swing attending 13 centre bounces, which was 39% of the total attendances for the Bulldogs.

Last week we talked about the potential of Bailey Smith eating into his CBAs (and the fact that Tom had COVID the week beforehand too) and how their share of the CBAs be affected. Obviously, Smith missed this week through injury so we don’t have a better gauge on what is going there.

But one thing for sure is Liberatore is a far better AFL Fantasy scorer when he’s getting CBAs, so hopefully, last round’s minimal attendance was just a one-off.

Tanner Bruhn

Bruhn is one of The Oracle’s boys and he looked good on the weekend.

After not playing in round 1, Tanner Bruhn came into the side and was used at 13 centre bounces. Whilst he only scored 78 points on the weekend, it was good to see him get an opportunity in the middle. Last season, he could only manage an AFL Fantasy average of 37.7 points, but this is mainly because he was used as a forward. This year, it seems GWS want to use him in the middle which is where he played his junior footy (74.5 average in NAB League as an under-ager in 2019).

Whilst we all know CBAs don’t equate to better fantasy scores, they do provide more opportunities to put up some better numbers. Hopefully, we can see Bruhn continue to get a run in the midfield and provide some value, particularly when he’s listed as a forward in AFL Fantasy.

Sam Switkowski

Here’s another one that didn’t put up massive numbers but was given some opportunity in the middle.

After playing preseason games as a midfielder, Switkowski didn’t attend a single centre bounce in round one versus the Crows. I personally had him resigned to a forward role, but he proved me wrong in round two. Against St Kilda, he was given 7 CBAs which made up 33% of Dockers’ share.

He’s another one that didn’t score highly, but it was good to see him given the opportunity. Listed as a forward, he might turn into a handy player for us this year if he can get a decent run in the middle.

Jarryd Lyons

There was plenty of talk in the pre-season about Jarryd Lyons spending more time up forward in the offseason.

Whilst that hasn’t truly come to fruition, we have seen a decline in his CBA numbers.

Last year, Lyons attended 74% of Brisbane’s CBAs across the entire season. In the first two rounds of 2022, he has only attended 59% of the CBAs for Brisbane. As a result, we have seen Lyon’s scoring dip this season. Last year, he averaged 117.1 AFL Fantasy points and now he’s currently only averaging 83 points. Effectively, we have seen a 15% drop in CBAs and almost a 30% drop in AFL Fantasy scoring.

The cause of this probably comes down to players like Berry and Rayner spending more time in the guts as well as the fitness of Lachie Neale.

Despite this, I still have faith in Lyons’ fantasy ability, he just needs to settle in his change of role and adapt to not spending as much time in the middle.

Watch this space.

Rowan Marshall

There are a few red flags for Marshall.

In round one, Marshall almost had 70% of the CBAs in their game against Collingwood, which saw him score 108 AFL Fantasy points. Last week we essentially saw a 50/50 split of the ruck duties between Marshall and Hayes which caused a decline in Marshall’s scoring.

To add further concern, Paddy Ryder should return this week and there’s talk of St Kilda playing all three big men (Ryder, Hayes and Marshall) in the same team. This could kill all of their fantasy scorings depending on their roles.

We’ll have to wait and see how it pans out, but Marshall owners might be feeling a little worried right now.

Preview of Advanced CBA Stats:

PlayerClubPosLG%LG%vsPG%Avg%L3Avg%LG%vsAvg%L3G%vsAvg%
Reilly O'BrienADR93-29481-1-13
Rowan MarshallSKR90-190.590-0.5-0.5
Stephen ConiglioGWSC961188.7897.30.3
Jack SteeleSKC90388.5881.5-0.5
Oscar McInerneyBLR931088875-1
Tom GreenGWSC961787.7888.30.3
Tom De KoningCAR85-587.562-2.5-25.5
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC83-585.587-2.51.5
Marcus BontempelliWBC81-985.583-4.5-2.5
Caleb SerongFRC86185.5850.5-0.5

View more CBA Analysis numbers here.

Key:
LG% – Percentage of CBAs last game
LG%vsPG% – Percentage of CBAs last game versus percentage of CBAs previous game
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage in games played
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three games
LG%vsAvg% – Last game CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage
L3G%vsAvg% – Last three games CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

CBA-Kick-Ins-Keeper-League

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