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CBAs

CBAs Analysis: Round 1, 2023 – AFL Fantasy

See who the winners and losers were in the CBAs over the weekend.

CBAs – Centre Bounce Attendances – is a statistic that measures the number of times a player is present at a centre bounce at the beginning of a quarter or following a goal. A player that has a high attendance rate at CBAs is around the footy more and (in some cases) in a more fantasy-friendly midfield role.

Analyse the CBAs from the football weekend in our user-friendly tables in our premium resources section – featuring advanced analytical tools to better measure the most significant changes, seasonally and week-to-week.

Tim Taranto

A low-scoring season opener left just 20 centre-bounces available for Taranto – but he managed 16 of them! The addition of Taranto (and Hopper) into a more defined midfield mix meant that Richmond had its equal tightest CBA group since 2021. Just 7 players (5 midfielders) rotated in there and allowed Taranto to benefit from 80% CBAs.

In 2022, Taranto lacked in CBAs (44%) and it reflected in his scoring with just 17% of his disposals coming at centre-bounces (ranked 87th). Returning to the inside midfield has caused his scoring to explode with 123 points in Round 1.

Tanner Bruhn

Bruhn is a well-defined player when it comes to CBAs. His 4 scores over 75 last season were 4 of his biggest CBA games. The reason? 20% of his disposals in 2022 came at the centre-bounce, a ratio up there with premium midfielders. We saw his ability on display early on Friday night – Bruhn attended 12 of his 16 CBAs in the first half, scoring 45 points in that time.

The problem with someone who relies so much on CBAs for scoring is that they need consistency on the inside. After Parfitt was subbed on, Bruhn moved to a wing and scored just 20 points in the second half. Can he find a permanent role in there?

Jason Horne-Francis

The 2021 #1 draft pick was thrown straight into the engine room at Port Adelaide and was best on ground with 4 centre clearances. A whopping 20 CBAs of a possible 30 gave JHF his biggest CBA% since R4/R5 last season. He now has two scores of 90+ in his career, with 75.9% and 66.7% CBAs respectively.

The Port Adelaide vs Brisbane match had just 2778 points to go around so I wouldn’t be too worried about no one tonning up in the match. 90 is a very solid score for Horne-Francis in a game like that, particularly with C/F status.

Josh Kelly

68% CBAs, 68% Time on Ground, … just the second game recorded where Jelly has had a equal or better CBA% than TOG%. That is the role many AFL Fantasy coaches were hoping for after inside positions at GWS opened up after the trade period.

Kelly’s scoring in 2022 reflected a more outside role, with just 16.6% of his disposals coming at centre-bounces. We had a good look at how that increased in Round 1, but will have to wait until he returns from concussion protocols to get more data on him.

James Worpel

77.4% is James Worpel’s highest CBA % since 2020 – a season where he averaged 96.2 (adjusted) AFL Fantasy points. Alongside Jai Newcombe, Worpel finally held an inside mid spot while several others rotated through. A small flag is that 11 players attended a centre-bounce for Hawthorn. Could they turn into more of a even split team as the season progresses?

24 of a possible 31 CBAs for Worpel with 8 of those in the final quarter. With 20.7% of his possessions at centre-bounces last season, the scoring reliance on CBAs is there, but now he has the role to match!

Preview of Advanced CBA Stats:

PlayerClubPosLG%LG%vsPG%Avg%L3Avg%LG%vsAvg%L3G%vsAvg%
Jack SteeleSKC86-789.788-3.7-1.7
Reilly O’BrienADR84-48986-5-3
Rowan MarshallSKR76-2087.787-11.7-0.7
Lloyd MeekHWR90+1186.287+3.8+0.8
Tom GreenGWSC80-586.285-6.2-1.2
Max GawnMER92+68688+6+2
Luke Davies-UniackeNMC80-585.584-5.5-1.5
Jarrod WittsGCR93+1184.687+8.4+2.4
Ned ReevesHWR82-584.579-2.5-5.5
Toby NankervisRIR83-783.884-0.8+0.2

View more CBA Analysis numbers here.

Key:
LG% – Percentage of CBAs last game
LG%vsPG% – Percentage of CBAs last game versus percentage of CBAs previous game
Avg% – Average of CBA percentage in games played
L3Avg% – Average of CBA percentage over the past three games
LG%vsAvg% – Last game CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage
L3G%vsAvg% – Last three games CBA percentage vs average CBA percentage

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