The Breakout Tracker is now available to members of The Keeper League podcast.
For those who haven’t heard of the Breakout Tracker before, we calculate the career average for every player that has played under 100 games. We then work out what the combined career average of the top players at the same time in their careers. We then compare those figures and give you the differential.
You can use this information to see how players compare to the best in the league. This will give you an idea of their breakout likelihood, or if they’re trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.
Below we have given the top 20 players who are averaging ahead of the top 50 players in the competition at the same points in their careers.
To explain the data below, let’s take Reilly O’Brien as an example. O’Brien has played a career total of 20 games for an average of 93.2. The top 50 players in the competition had a combined average of 71.9 after their first 20 games, giving him a +21.3 differential.
| Name | Club | Pos | Games | 100s | %100s | Car. Avg. | T50 Ov. | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reilly O'Brien | AD | R | 20 | 8 | 0.4 | 93.2 | 71.9 | 21.3 |
| Sam Walsh | CA | C | 22 | 7 | 0.32 | 91.9 | 72.4 | 19.5 |
| Marlion Pickett | RI | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 53.8 | 19.2 |
| Charlie Constable | GE | C | 7 | 2 | 0.29 | 82.9 | 64.8 | 18.1 |
| Patrick Naish | RI | C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 73.5 | 57.3 | 16.2 |
| Brayden Fiorini | GC | C | 47 | 20 | 0.43 | 94 | 79.4 | 14.6 |
| Tim Kelly | WC | C | 48 | 17 | 0.35 | 93 | 79.3 | 13.7 |
| Clayton Oliver | ME | C | 82 | 38 | 0.46 | 99.4 | 85.7 | 13.7 |
| Brad Crouch | AD | C | 83 | 43 | 0.52 | 98.2 | 85.5 | 12.7 |
| Callum Coleman-Jones | RI | R,F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 53.8 | 12.2 |
| Rowan Marshall | SK | R | 33 | 12 | 0.36 | 87.4 | 75.7 | 11.7 |
| Josh Dunkley | WB | C | 66 | 28 | 0.42 | 94.2 | 83.2 | 11 |
| Sam Menegola | GE | C | 65 | 28 | 0.43 | 93.9 | 83 | 10.9 |
| James Worpel | HW | C | 33 | 11 | 0.33 | 86.6 | 75.7 | 10.9 |
| Tim Taranto | GWS | C | 63 | 25 | 0.4 | 92.5 | 82.8 | 9.7 |
| Jarrod Lienert | PA | B | 13 | 2 | 0.15 | 77.3 | 68.2 | 9.1 |
| Francis Watson | WC | B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 57.3 | 6.7 |
| Rupert Wills | CW | C | 15 | 0 | 0 | 75.9 | 69.3 | 6.6 |
| Kade Chandler | ME | F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 53.8 | 6.2 |
| Xavier Duursma | PA | C | 20 | 1 | 0.05 | 78 | 71.9 | 6.1 |
Members of The Keeper League podcast receive data for every player in the competition separated by position.
Members also receive an Excel file containing a line chart that allows you to compare players and positions visually.
Click here to sign up.
Already a member? Click here to view the Breakout Tracker.
