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Data Analysis

The Breakout Tracker Returns For 2024 – AFL Fantasy

See which early career players are trending ahead of the best AFL Fantasy players in the competition using The Breakout Tracker.

Chart:

Breakout Tracker

Data:

Defenders

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T10Diff
Harry SheezelNMB412458.5103.778.6+25.1
Nick DaicosCWB,C653350.898.876.8+22
Logan EvansPAB512080.668.5+12.1
Hayden YoungFRB,C752026.785.673.8+11.8
Nic MartinESB,C622133.989.778.4+11.3
Colby McKercherNMB,C12216.779.869.7+10.1
Nasiah Wanganeen-MileraSKB571831.685.578.8+6.7
Lawson HumphriesGEB,C41257569.3+5.7
Max HolmesGEB,C661015.275.673.7+1.9
Jordan RidleyESB931415.177.476+1.4

Midfielders

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T20Diff
Nick DaicosCWB,C653350.898.868.1+30.7
Errol GuldenSYC853541.29570.6+24.4
Caleb SerongFRC984343.992.270.4+21.8
Nic MartinESB,C622133.989.767.9+21.8
Will AshcroftBLC22418.281.860.3+21.5
Colby McKercherNMB,C12216.779.858.6+21.2
Lawson HumphriesGEB,C41257555.8+19.2
Noah AndersonGCC993434.389.670.6+19
Tom GreenGWSC853541.288.670.6+18
Chad WarnerSYC782633.386.268.9+17.3

Rucks

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T5Diff
Ned MoyleGCR90077.657.3+20.3
Kieren BriggsGWSR441227.38564.8+20.2
Toby ConwayGER60070.756.5+14.2
Jordon SweetPAR200069.960+9.9
Braydon PreussGWSR2872569.260.8+8.4
Matt FlynnWCR37410.869.462.3+7.1
Kieran StrachanADR70064.458.2+6.2
Tristan XerriNMR511325.572.866.8+6
Darcy CameronCWR901921.177.371.4+5.9
Peter LadhamsSYR52713.567.866.9+0.9

Forwards

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T10Diff
Billy DowlingADC,F60068.756.5+12.2
Shaun MannaghGEC,F512067.456.3+11.1
Dylan MooreHWF932223.78271.7+10.3
Sam FlandersGCC,F60183076.668.5+8.1
Jye CaldwellESC,F731520.576.769+7.7
Harley ReidWCC,F15006659+7
Ryley SandersWBC,F140063.958.4+5.5
Elijah HollandsCAC,F3026.765.661.4+4.2
Darcy WilsonSKC,F1815.663.359.4+3.9
Sam DarcyWBF22006460.3+3.7

View the Breakout Tracker data and chart for every player in the competition by becoming a member.

Sign up here.

For those who haven’t heard of the Breakout Tracker before, we calculate the career average for every player who has played under 100 games. We then work out the combined career average of the top AFL Fantasy players in the competition at the same time in their careers. We then compare those figures and give you a differential.

You can use this information to see how players compare to the best in the league. This will give you an idea of their breakout likelihood, or if they’re trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

To explain the data above, let’s take Josh Ward for example. Ward has played a total of 30 games for a career average of 74.4. The top 20 midfielders in the competition had a combined average of 70.6 after their first 30 games, giving him a +2.8 point differential. This indicates he is trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

Members of The Keeper League podcast receive data for every player in the competition separated by position. They also receive a chart that allows you to compare players and positions visually as demonstrated above.

This data will be updated after every round of the 2024 AFL season.

Members can view ‘The Breakout Tracker’ here.

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