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Data Analysis

The Breakout Tracker Returns For 2024 – AFL Fantasy

See which early career players are trending ahead of the best AFL Fantasy players in the competition using The Breakout Tracker.

Chart:

Breakout Tracker

Data:

Defenders

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T10Diff
Harry SheezelNMB442761.4104.479.9+24.5
Nick DaicosCWB,C703651.499.878.7+21.1
Archie RobertsESB4008571.5+13.5
Nic MartinESB,C672435.89180+11
Hayden YoungFRB,C802126.385.476.2+9.2
Colby McKercherNMB,C16318.882.373.4+8.9
Nasiah Wanganeen-MileraSKB621930.686.380.4+5.9
Max HolmesGEB,C711014.176.175.6+0.5
Jordan RidleyESB941414.976.977.3-0.4
Isaac CummingGWSB,C791316.575.676.2-0.6

Midfielders

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T20Diff
Nick DaicosCWB,C703651.499.869.4+30.4
Errol GuldenSYC903741.194.971.4+23.5
Nic MartinESB,C672435.89169+22
Colby McKercherNMB,C16318.882.361.5+20.8
Will AshcroftBLC27622.283.563.5+20
Tom GreenGWSC903741.189.371.4+17.9
Jai NewcombeHWC73192686.369.9+16.4
Chad WarnerSYC822732.985.870+15.8
Hayden YoungFRB,C802126.385.469.8+15.6
Shaun MannaghGEC,F1022072.959.1+13.8

Rucks

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T5Diff
Kieren BriggsGWSR481327.185.467.3+18.1
Ned MoyleGCR100072.959.1+13.8
Toby ConwayGER60070.757+13.7
Tristan XerriNMR561832.178.968.4+10.5
Jordon SweetPAR251472.663+9.6
Darcy CameronCWR952324.278.471.9+6.5
Braydon PreussGWSR2872569.263.6+5.6
Kieran StrachanADR70064.459.7+4.7
Matt FlynnWCR37410.869.465+4.4
Lloyd MeekHWR5061267.367.8-0.5

Forwards

NameClubPosGames100s%100sCar. Avg.T10Diff
Shaun MannaghGEC,F1022072.959.1+13.8
Dylan MooreHWF982525.583.272.2+11
Billy DowlingADC,F90068.159.1+9
Sam FlandersGCC,F652030.87869.9+8.1
Jye CaldwellESC,F781721.877.470.5+6.9
Harley ReidWCC,F200066.861.5+5.3
Elijah HollandsCAC,F3538.668.564.3+4.2
Sam DarcyWBF2713.767.163.5+3.6
Ryley SandersWBC,F140063.960.4+3.5
Darcy WilsonSKC,F2328.765.462.6+2.8

View the Breakout Tracker data and chart for every player in the competition by becoming a member.

Sign up here.

For those who haven’t heard of the Breakout Tracker before, we calculate the career average for every player who has played under 100 games. We then work out the combined career average of the top AFL Fantasy players in the competition at the same time in their careers. We then compare those figures and give you a differential.

You can use this information to see how players compare to the best in the league. This will give you an idea of their breakout likelihood, or if they’re trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

To explain the data above, let’s take Josh Ward for example. Ward has played a total of 30 games for a career average of 74.4. The top 20 midfielders in the competition had a combined average of 70.6 after their first 30 games, giving him a +2.8 point differential. This indicates he is trending towards being one of the top AFL Fantasy performers in the competition.

Members of The Keeper League podcast receive data for every player in the competition separated by position. They also receive a chart that allows you to compare players and positions visually as demonstrated above.

This data will be updated after every round of the 2024 AFL season.

Members can view ‘The Breakout Tracker’ here.

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